The regular season is over. Every remaining series is simulated from its current score, every day, through the World Series.
Postseason · updated daily · as of Oct 16next update Oct 17 · up to 11 postseason games left · model v2.6.0
Wild Card Series
AL Wild Card SeriesFinal
3Houston Astros0
6Chicago White SoxWon2
Chicago White Sox won 2–0
AL Wild Card SeriesFinal
4New York YankeesWon2
5Boston Red Sox0
New York Yankees won 2–0
NL Wild Card SeriesFinal
3Atlanta BravesWon2
6Philadelphia Phillies1
Atlanta Braves won 2–1
NL Wild Card SeriesFinal
4San Diego PadresWon2
5Chicago Cubs0
San Diego Padres won 2–0
Division Series
AL Division SeriesFinal
1Tampa Bay RaysWon3
4New York Yankees0
Tampa Bay Rays won 3–0
AL Division SeriesFinal
2Cleveland GuardiansWon3
6Chicago White Sox2
Cleveland Guardians won 3–2
NL Division SeriesFinal
1Milwaukee BrewersWon3
4San Diego Padres1
Milwaukee Brewers won 3–1
NL Division SeriesFinal
2Los Angeles DodgersWon3
3Atlanta Braves1
Los Angeles Dodgers won 3–1
Championship Series
AL Championship SeriesIn progress
1Tampa Bay Rays133.8%
2Cleveland Guardians266.2%
Game 4 · Oct 16 · up to 4 games left
NL Championship SeriesFinal
1Milwaukee BrewersWon4
2Los Angeles Dodgers0
Milwaukee Brewers won 4–0
World Series
World SeriesAwaiting teams
1Milwaukee Brewers52.6%
AL Champion
Game 1 · Oct 23 · time TBD · up to 7 games left
Pennant and World Series odds
Team
Seed
Current series
Win series
Pennant
World Series
Milwaukee Brewers
1
World Series
52.6%
100.0%
52.6%
Cleveland Guardians
2
AL Championship Series
66.2%
66.0%
30.6%
Tampa Bay Rays
1
AL Championship Series
33.8%
34.0%
16.9%
Eliminated:New York Yankees (AL Division Series) · Boston Red Sox (AL Wild Card Series) · Chicago White Sox (AL Division Series) · Houston Astros (AL Wild Card Series) · Atlanta Braves (NL Division Series) · Philadelphia Phillies (NL Wild Card Series) · Chicago Cubs (NL Wild Card Series) · Los Angeles Dodgers (NL Championship Series) · San Diego Padres (NL Division Series)
Each day the model reads the real bracket and every series score, rates the clubs still alive — each projected October starter separately, with the club's real lineup and bullpen — and plays the rest of the postseason out 100,000 times from the current score, game by game with the actual home-field pattern and rotation slots. Series odds are the share of those replays each club wins. Model projections, not guarantees — how this works.
Awards & leaders — Final regular-season
The regular season is over, so every leader board below is the final line — a leader is a certainty, exact ties split. MVP and Cy Young odds are the voter model scoring those final lines.
Modeled voter behavior. Most Valuable Player odds are not simulation output. The simulator projects each player's final stat line; a scoring model then guesses how voters would read it. The weights were chosen to reflect historical voting patterns, not fitted to ballots — this is the softest number on the page.