Today's Edges
Every projected game on the 2026-07-03slate, ranked by how far our number sits from the market. Big edges deserve skepticism as much as excitement — that's where model blind spots live too.
| Matchup | Model favors | Edge | Model win% | Book | Fair line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays @ Houston Astros | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | -104 | 🔒 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | +276 | 🔒 |
| Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Angels | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | -108 | 🔒 |
| San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | +223 | 🔒 |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Chicago Cubs | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | -158 | 🔒 |
| Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | +190 | 🔒 |
| San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | -142 | 🔒 |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | +117 | 🔒 |
| New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | -100 | 🔒 |
| Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | +115 | 🔒 |
| Baltimore Orioles @ Cincinnati Reds | 🔒 | 🔒 | 🔒 | -152 | 🔒 |
Informational only — not betting advice. An "edge" is a disagreement between our model and the market, not a guaranteed mispricing.