Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Prediction & Odds

July 5, 2026 · Brandon Sproat vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 85°F

4.8% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks

Milwaukee Brewers win

47.4%

Arizona Diamondbacks win

52.6%

Fair line (home)

-111

Proj. total

9.85

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Milwaukee Brewers (mean 4.91)Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 4.94)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.85

Over

43.7%

Under

46.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Milwaukee Brewers	47.4%	-114	+111
Arizona Diamondbacks	52.6%	+105	-111

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Brice Turang	4.9	.862	.201	.023	.137	.551	.951	.282	.365	.433	.798
Jackson Chourio	4.8	.813	.247	.020	.200	.325	.916	.288	.339	.487	.826
Christian Yelich	4.7	.796	.176	.013	.153	.522	1.022	.275	.360	.435	.795
Andrew Vaughn	4.6	.743	.211	.016	.162	.344	.787	.270	.330	.443	.774
Jake Bauers	4.5	.597	.168	.007	.198	.549	1.129	.250	.347	.449	.796
Garrett Mitchell	4.3	.636	.181	.033	.113	.484	1.300	.251	.339	.403	.742
Gary Sánchez	4.3	.558	.123	.019	.200	.432	.968	.239	.326	.442	.767
David Hamilton	4.1	.611	.143	.027	.110	.375	.915	.238	.311	.379	.690
Joey Ortiz	4.0	.681	.182	.018	.083	.352	.609	.264	.332	.392	.724

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ketel Marte	4.7	.753	.208	.022	.209	.545	.719	.288	.378	.500	.879
Geraldo Perdomo	4.6	.793	.167	.035	.100	.619	.577	.278	.384	.413	.798
Corbin Carroll	4.5	.596	.178	.093	.192	.560	.913	.272	.372	.514	.886
Gabriel Moreno	4.4	.802	.203	.011	.119	.483	.735	.292	.376	.442	.818
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	4.3	.739	.193	.015	.138	.311	.685	.275	.336	.437	.772
Ildemaro Vargas	4.2	.781	.162	.039	.080	.247	.455	.273	.325	.396	.721
Tim Tawa	4.1	.570	.156	.026	.118	.375	.983	.237	.313	.389	.702
Pavin Smith	4.0	.548	.149	.011	.100	.560	.976	.239	.350	.378	.728
Tommy Troy	3.9	.641	.165	.029	.059	.374	.841	.259	.339	.375	.714

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections