St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Prediction & Odds

July 19, 2026 · Andre Pallante vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 85°F

0.8% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks

St. Louis Cardinals win

45.9%

Arizona Diamondbacks win

54.1%

Fair line (home)

-118

Proj. total

10.7

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

St. Louis Cardinals (mean 5.27)Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 5.43)

O/U line

Proj. total

10.7

Over

55.1%

Under

35.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
St. Louis Cardinals	45.9%	+110	+118
Arizona Diamondbacks	54.1%	-119	-118

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
JJ Wetherholt	5.0	.906	.201	.010	.163	.470	.702	.290	.367	.450	.817
Iván Herrera	4.8	.862	.193	.013	.161	.547	.768	.292	.385	.459	.844
Jordan Walker	4.7	.787	.222	.010	.208	.379	1.069	.283	.345	.483	.828
Nelson Velázquez	4.6	.632	.172	.012	.210	.407	1.145	.245	.316	.443	.759
Alec Burleson	4.5	.831	.203	.014	.189	.344	.563	.299	.357	.493	.850
Masyn Winn	4.4	.811	.199	.023	.100	.316	.684	.280	.337	.415	.752
José Fermín	4.3	.720	.195	.006	.097	.430	.489	.267	.348	.398	.746
Lars Nootbaar	4.2	.654	.176	.020	.139	.519	.739	.272	.366	.446	.811
Blaze Jordan	4.1	.721	.196	.016	.111	.221	.476	.273	.316	.419	.736

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ketel Marte	4.8	.876	.251	.035	.179	.481	.564	.312	.388	.510	.898
Geraldo Perdomo	4.7	.898	.207	.046	.081	.601	.458	.303	.401	.437	.837
Corbin Carroll	4.6	.697	.201	.111	.171	.532	.770	.293	.382	.526	.909
Gabriel Moreno	4.5	.932	.235	.013	.098	.475	.548	.321	.399	.461	.860
Max Kepler	4.4	.742	.205	.022	.114	.425	.703	.276	.353	.427	.780
Tyler Locklear	4.3	.756	.211	.022	.096	.373	.889	.282	.355	.423	.778
Nolan Arenado	4.2	.765	.197	.010	.118	.322	.548	.286	.347	.435	.782
Adrian Del Castillo	4.1	.646	.208	.014	.112	.347	.919	.265	.333	.420	.753
Ryan Waldschmidt	4.0	.689	.196	.037	.059	.414	.816	.282	.368	.411	.778

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections