Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Prediction & Odds

August 9, 2026 · Justin Wrobleski vs Eduardo Rodriguez · 85°F

2.4% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers win

54.0%

Arizona Diamondbacks win

46.0%

Fair line (home)

+117

Proj. total

10.66

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.64)Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 5.02)

O/U line

Proj. total

10.66

Over

55.1%

Under

35.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	54.0%	-135	-117
Arizona Diamondbacks	46.0%	+125	+117

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	5.0	.683	.192	.046	.328	.737	1.047	.297	.405	.598	1.003
Andy Pages	4.9	.788	.240	.014	.221	.324	.854	.281	.336	.488	.824
Freddie Freeman	4.8	.842	.244	.016	.184	.514	.721	.306	.387	.503	.890
Tommy Edman	4.7	.815	.189	.021	.127	.303	.771	.268	.322	.410	.732
Mookie Betts	4.5	.777	.210	.022	.188	.482	.460	.297	.375	.499	.874
Kyle Tucker	4.4	.671	.186	.023	.187	.596	.636	.280	.381	.488	.869
Teoscar Hernández	4.3	.677	.186	.009	.217	.325	1.026	.274	.334	.489	.823
Enrique Hernández	4.2	.664	.181	.015	.141	.297	.843	.256	.311	.418	.730
Ben Rortvedt	4.1	.573	.147	.005	.085	.384	.955	.221	.302	.333	.634

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Geraldo Perdomo	4.7	.828	.187	.027	.115	.535	.571	.280	.370	.421	.792
Corbin Carroll	4.6	.618	.185	.095	.227	.529	.913	.278	.369	.539	.909
Gabriel Moreno	4.5	.852	.207	.011	.143	.467	.670	.303	.381	.467	.849
Ketel Marte	4.4	.724	.199	.017	.231	.398	.630	.296	.368	.530	.898
Nolan Arenado	4.3	.679	.185	.008	.169	.315	.681	.264	.325	.444	.769
Ildemaro Vargas	4.2	.769	.174	.026	.095	.229	.426	.272	.319	.402	.721
Tim Tawa	4.1	.567	.163	.025	.146	.350	.923	.244	.314	.420	.733
Tyler Locklear	4.0	.599	.169	.015	.125	.334	.978	.254	.328	.415	.744
Ryan Waldschmidt	3.9	.598	.171	.029	.072	.386	.929	.255	.341	.386	.727

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections