Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks — Prediction & Odds

August 8, 2026 · Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Brandon Pfaadt · 85°F

5.1% edge · Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers win

58.9%

Arizona Diamondbacks win

41.1%

Fair line (home)

+143

Proj. total

10.21

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.71)Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 4.50)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

10.21

Over

60.9%

Under

39.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	58.9%	-189	-143
Arizona Diamondbacks	41.1%	+172	+143

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	5.0	.706	.197	.045	.338	.654	1.092	.299	.396	.602	.998
Andy Pages	4.9	.799	.245	.013	.214	.284	.889	.280	.331	.482	.813
Freddie Freeman	4.8	.835	.254	.014	.188	.456	.765	.304	.378	.502	.880
Max Muncy	4.7	.590	.164	.018	.239	.616	1.012	.254	.361	.483	.844
Mookie Betts	4.6	.763	.215	.019	.186	.441	.483	.289	.363	.488	.851
Kyle Tucker	4.5	.682	.189	.021	.185	.552	.674	.278	.373	.482	.855
Tommy Edman	4.3	.743	.174	.029	.124	.274	.744	.266	.321	.417	.738
Teoscar Hernández	4.2	.682	.182	.009	.192	.280	1.035	.273	.326	.471	.798
Hunter Feduccia	4.1	.595	.160	.028	.077	.423	1.023	.235	.317	.357	.674

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Geraldo Perdomo	4.7	.800	.178	.041	.093	.543	.690	.272	.364	.404	.768
Corbin Carroll	4.6	.593	.169	.093	.188	.488	1.062	.259	.347	.488	.835
Gabriel Moreno	4.5	.796	.197	.010	.124	.433	.808	.283	.358	.431	.789
Ketel Marte	4.3	.686	.190	.028	.193	.407	.754	.282	.357	.494	.851
Lars Nootbaar	4.3	.610	.170	.013	.132	.519	.973	.250	.346	.410	.757
Nolan Arenado	4.2	.646	.172	.007	.135	.276	.794	.251	.308	.406	.714
Tim Tawa	4.0	.532	.156	.022	.126	.331	1.094	.228	.297	.385	.682
James McCann	3.9	.605	.159	.008	.111	.192	1.078	.239	.284	.377	.661
Ryan Waldschmidt	3.8	.561	.163	.027	.060	.356	1.064	.240	.322	.358	.679

Data notes: game-time temp 85F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections