Washington Nationals vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds

July 17, 2026 · Cade Cavalli vs Gage Jump · 84°F

6.3% edge · Athletics

Washington Nationals win

48.7%

Athletics win

51.3%

Fair line (home)

-105

Proj. total

9.92

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Washington Nationals (mean 5.05)Athletics (mean 4.87)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.92

Over

41.3%

Under

51.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Washington Nationals	48.7%	-128	+105
Athletics	51.3%	+118	-105

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
James Wood	4.9	.688	.225	.013	.254	.731	1.341	.283	.394	.525	.919
Curtis Mead	4.8	.785	.227	.025	.160	.404	.924	.275	.348	.449	.797
Andrés Chaparro	4.7	.663	.214	.005	.192	.429	1.083	.253	.329	.442	.771
CJ Abrams	4.6	.735	.212	.031	.189	.344	.869	.281	.350	.482	.832
Dylan Crews	4.5	.700	.179	.021	.165	.335	.975	.260	.326	.435	.762
Harry Ford	4.4	.614	.166	.007	.096	.532	1.112	.233	.337	.357	.694
Daylen Lile	4.3	.766	.202	.061	.118	.290	.701	.291	.348	.464	.812
Jacob Young	4.2	.775	.172	.021	.072	.298	.733	.273	.335	.385	.720
Nasim Nuñez	4.1	.736	.095	.024	.043	.389	.917	.247	.326	.323	.649

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Carlos Cortes	4.7	.728	.233	.017	.152	.440	.833	.267	.343	.439	.782
Jacob Wilson	4.6	.977	.258	.007	.102	.286	.406	.317	.369	.453	.822
Tyler Soderstrom	4.5	.657	.225	.017	.200	.470	.867	.278	.363	.496	.858
Shea Langeliers	4.4	.640	.202	.005	.227	.357	.922	.270	.339	.495	.834
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	4.3	.944	.232	.020	.047	.236	.440	.313	.362	.417	.779
Lawrence Butler	4.2	.628	.186	.010	.140	.417	1.024	.258	.336	.426	.762
Donovan Walton	4.1	.696	.158	.014	.080	.357	.685	.260	.335	.377	.712
Henry Bolte	4.0	.682	.170	.029	.097	.326	1.108	.276	.351	.423	.773
Tommy White	3.8	.712	.184	.014	.090	.185	.634	.278	.322	.412	.734

Data notes: home starter Gage Jump: only 57 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections