Washington Nationals vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds

July 18, 2026 · Zack Littell vs J.T. Ginn · 86°F

3.1% edge · Athletics

Washington Nationals win

45.7%

Athletics win

54.3%

Fair line (home)

-119

Proj. total

10.51

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Washington Nationals (mean 5.17)Athletics (mean 5.34)

O/U line

11.5

Proj. total

10.51

Over

37.0%

Under

63.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Washington Nationals	45.7%	+101	+119
Athletics	54.3%	-109	-119

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
James Wood	5.0	.705	.226	.013	.240	.766	1.303	.285	.400	.518	.918
Luis García Jr.	4.8	.906	.238	.030	.208	.288	.662	.304	.349	.508	.856
José Tena	4.7	.841	.219	.033	.111	.376	1.134	.279	.341	.421	.763
CJ Abrams	4.6	.753	.209	.035	.180	.365	.829	.284	.356	.481	.837
Keibert Ruiz	4.5	.828	.212	.005	.128	.221	.509	.277	.321	.419	.740
Daylen Lile	4.4	.812	.218	.061	.109	.304	.697	.296	.353	.461	.814
Nasim Nuñez	4.3	.775	.100	.035	.045	.439	.959	.249	.331	.329	.661
Jorbit Vivas	4.2	.709	.168	.011	.065	.438	.583	.260	.352	.364	.717
Dylan Crews	4.1	.642	.162	.019	.137	.307	.865	.259	.326	.424	.749

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jacob Wilson	4.7	1.019	.270	.008	.134	.252	.329	.324	.367	.480	.847
Tyler Soderstrom	4.6	.711	.237	.015	.272	.415	.742	.299	.368	.561	.928
Shea Langeliers	4.5	.684	.214	.006	.317	.324	.769	.296	.353	.582	.935
Carlos Cortes	4.4	.714	.226	.015	.182	.359	.640	.286	.350	.488	.838
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	4.3	.947	.234	.021	.060	.198	.359	.314	.354	.428	.782
Donovan Walton	4.2	.718	.182	.013	.112	.315	.600	.269	.332	.412	.744
Jonah Heim	4.0	.642	.165	.005	.171	.270	.638	.262	.315	.445	.760
Lawrence Butler	3.9	.588	.191	.012	.187	.357	.837	.274	.343	.492	.835
Jeff McNeil	3.8	.713	.182	.020	.097	.279	.383	.291	.354	.438	.792

Data notes: game-time temp 86F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections