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7.0% edge · AthleticsWashington Nationals vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds
July 19, 2026 · Foster Griffin vs Jacob Lopez · 84°F
Washington Nationals win
50.9%
Athletics win
49.1%
Fair line (home)
+104
Proj. total
9.7
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Washington Nationals (mean 5.05)Athletics (mean 4.65)
Totals
O/U line
10.5
Proj. total
9.7
Over
39.1%
Under
60.9%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington Nationals | 50.9% | -145 | -104 |
| Athletics | 49.1% | +133 | +104 |
Washington Nationals — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Wood | 4.9 | .666 | .220 | .013 | .272 | .768 | 1.353 | .283 | .399 | .539 | .939 |
| Curtis Mead | 4.8 | .768 | .217 | .022 | .178 | .444 | .943 | .275 | .352 | .459 | .811 |
| Andrés Chaparro | 4.7 | .654 | .206 | .007 | .188 | .468 | 1.105 | .250 | .332 | .436 | .769 |
| CJ Abrams | 4.6 | .694 | .201 | .030 | .191 | .390 | .877 | .270 | .347 | .473 | .819 |
| Dylan Crews | 4.5 | .677 | .177 | .022 | .164 | .350 | .998 | .255 | .324 | .430 | .755 |
| Harry Ford | 4.4 | .606 | .156 | .006 | .097 | .568 | 1.114 | .230 | .341 | .352 | .693 |
| Daylen Lile | 4.3 | .737 | .195 | .055 | .117 | .312 | .722 | .282 | .342 | .449 | .791 |
| Jacob Young | 4.2 | .749 | .166 | .019 | .074 | .324 | .760 | .266 | .333 | .378 | .711 |
| Nasim Nuñez | 4.1 | .705 | .096 | .022 | .046 | .423 | .933 | .241 | .326 | .319 | .645 |
Athletics — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Wilson | 4.6 | .996 | .255 | .007 | .113 | .249 | .406 | .316 | .361 | .457 | .817 |
| Tyler Soderstrom | 4.5 | .674 | .230 | .018 | .218 | .414 | .882 | .281 | .355 | .508 | .863 |
| Shea Langeliers | 4.4 | .652 | .209 | .005 | .253 | .317 | .915 | .276 | .334 | .517 | .851 |
| Jonah Heim | 4.3 | .683 | .168 | .004 | .154 | .264 | .787 | .252 | .303 | .410 | .714 |
| Joshua Kuroda-Grauer | 4.2 | .928 | .233 | .022 | .049 | .190 | .436 | .312 | .352 | .419 | .771 |
| Colby Thomas | 4.1 | .608 | .206 | .013 | .160 | .215 | 1.138 | .258 | .308 | .444 | .752 |
| Tommy White | 4.0 | .735 | .191 | .015 | .105 | .163 | .654 | .277 | .314 | .418 | .732 |
| Henry Bolte | 3.9 | .686 | .174 | .027 | .109 | .280 | 1.082 | .282 | .345 | .440 | .785 |
| Alika Williams | 3.8 | .658 | .177 | .017 | .061 | .230 | .771 | .262 | .315 | .375 | .690 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections