Detroit Tigers vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds

July 31, 2026 · Tyler Holton vs Jeffrey Springs · 94°F

1.4% edge · Athletics

Detroit Tigers win

55.5%

Athletics win

44.5%

Fair line (home)

+125

Proj. total

9.82

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 5.33)Athletics (mean 4.50)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.82

Over

32.1%

Under

59.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	55.5%	-138	-125
Athletics	44.5%	+128	+125

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.9	.859	.236	.036	.152	.628	.613	.299	.392	.477	.869
Gleyber Torres	4.8	.838	.198	.004	.167	.592	.727	.286	.378	.454	.831
Dillon Dingler	4.7	.755	.216	.021	.227	.313	.966	.280	.335	.495	.830
Riley Greene	4.6	.735	.212	.014	.248	.465	1.118	.293	.368	.532	.901
Hao-Yu Lee	4.5	.728	.182	.034	.131	.319	.960	.259	.317	.413	.730
Spencer Torkelson	4.4	.537	.188	.006	.240	.493	1.138	.252	.343	.490	.833
Max Clark	4.3	.721	.169	.026	.091	.446	.759	.264	.345	.394	.739
Javier Báez	4.2	.715	.173	.019	.145	.167	.858	.265	.301	.427	.729
Ben Malgeri	4.1	.629	.183	.028	.097	.337	1.045	.254	.323	.398	.721

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Nick Kurtz	4.7	.591	.185	.015	.253	.692	1.354	.265	.379	.513	.892
Jacob Wilson	4.5	.936	.244	.007	.097	.269	.412	.303	.351	.433	.783
Jonah Heim	4.4	.668	.170	.005	.143	.313	.818	.241	.299	.389	.688
Tyler Soderstrom	4.3	.624	.207	.013	.185	.429	.834	.266	.345	.470	.816
Tommy White	4.2	.775	.185	.016	.099	.193	.683	.269	.309	.398	.707
Lawrence Butler	4.1	.590	.174	.012	.144	.379	1.011	.247	.319	.416	.735
Henry Bolte	4.0	.690	.178	.025	.101	.311	1.139	.273	.340	.419	.759
Jeff McNeil	3.9	.687	.187	.018	.072	.303	.467	.273	.341	.398	.738
Alika Williams	3.8	.651	.175	.013	.060	.233	.775	.256	.308	.365	.673

Data notes: game-time temp 94F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections