Detroit Tigers vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds

August 1, 2026 · Framber Valdez vs Jack Perkins · 97°F

2.1% edge · Athletics

Detroit Tigers win

59.6%

Athletics win

40.5%

Fair line (home)

+147

Proj. total

9.19

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 5.21)Athletics (mean 3.97)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.19

Over

34.7%

Under

58.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	59.6%	-170	-147
Athletics	40.5%	+155	+147

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	5.0	.828	.226	.036	.119	.709	.670	.286	.392	.441	.833
Gleyber Torres	4.9	.803	.183	.004	.140	.657	.834	.270	.374	.417	.791
Dillon Dingler	4.8	.732	.207	.021	.189	.368	1.063	.265	.333	.454	.787
Riley Greene	4.7	.726	.214	.018	.205	.530	1.193	.285	.371	.497	.869
Colt Keith	4.5	.777	.182	.033	.152	.447	.858	.282	.358	.455	.813
Spencer Torkelson	4.4	.524	.183	.005	.200	.568	1.210	.240	.346	.448	.795
Max Clark	4.3	.696	.162	.027	.080	.500	.815	.255	.347	.375	.721
Javier Báez	4.2	.697	.166	.016	.123	.192	.925	.252	.295	.395	.690
Zach McKinstry	4.1	.604	.141	.050	.085	.429	.820	.243	.330	.380	.710

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jacob Wilson	4.6	.998	.258	.009	.084	.273	.397	.313	.361	.436	.797
Jonah Heim	4.5	.728	.178	.004	.123	.297	.816	.247	.303	.380	.683
Tyler Soderstrom	4.4	.670	.215	.015	.163	.437	.856	.271	.351	.458	.810
Tommy White	4.3	.804	.214	.016	.085	.199	.678	.276	.318	.400	.718
Lawrence Butler	4.2	.629	.191	.013	.130	.395	1.002	.255	.328	.416	.744
Alika Williams	4.1	.741	.194	.016	.058	.260	.848	.266	.321	.372	.693
Henry Bolte	4.0	.715	.182	.029	.086	.302	1.101	.279	.345	.417	.762
Brian Serven	3.9	.553	.153	.010	.064	.323	1.105	.223	.296	.327	.623
Jonathan Ornelas	3.8	.610	.111	.021	.047	.251	.964	.228	.287	.313	.601

Data notes: game-time temp 97F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections