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0.9% edge · Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds
August 2, 2026 · Keider Montero vs Gage Jump · 98°F
Detroit Tigers win
52.6%
Athletics win
47.3%
Fair line (home)
+111
Proj. total
9.34
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Detroit Tigers (mean 4.95)Athletics (mean 4.39)
Totals
O/U line
11
Proj. total
9.34
Over
28.2%
Under
63.3%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers | 52.6% | -112 | -111 |
| Athletics | 47.3% | +103 | +111 |
Detroit Tigers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres | 4.9 | .874 | .198 | .005 | .147 | .620 | .788 | .285 | .379 | .436 | .816 |
| Dillon Dingler | 4.8 | .765 | .227 | .023 | .196 | .348 | 1.049 | .274 | .338 | .470 | .807 |
| Kevin McGonigle | 4.7 | .812 | .221 | .038 | .120 | .627 | .624 | .294 | .393 | .456 | .850 |
| Eduardo Valencia | 4.6 | .709 | .173 | .014 | .157 | .361 | 1.038 | .251 | .317 | .410 | .728 |
| Spencer Torkelson | 4.5 | .560 | .190 | .006 | .210 | .539 | 1.189 | .247 | .346 | .460 | .806 |
| Hao-Yu Lee | 4.4 | .697 | .174 | .031 | .102 | .343 | .976 | .251 | .317 | .386 | .703 |
| Max Clark | 4.3 | .700 | .172 | .030 | .082 | .458 | .772 | .260 | .345 | .386 | .731 |
| Ben Malgeri | 4.2 | .638 | .184 | .030 | .092 | .361 | 1.111 | .251 | .324 | .389 | .713 |
| Zach McKinstry | 4.0 | .611 | .149 | .057 | .091 | .397 | .766 | .251 | .331 | .399 | .731 |
Athletics — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Walton | 4.6 | .807 | .185 | .013 | .103 | .367 | .728 | .263 | .329 | .387 | .715 |
| Tyler Soderstrom | 4.5 | .655 | .215 | .015 | .227 | .424 | .820 | .275 | .350 | .504 | .854 |
| Jonah Heim | 4.4 | .676 | .163 | .006 | .161 | .300 | .761 | .247 | .303 | .409 | .712 |
| Tommy White | 4.3 | .775 | .202 | .015 | .116 | .186 | .651 | .273 | .312 | .415 | .727 |
| Lawrence Butler | 4.2 | .609 | .188 | .011 | .167 | .380 | .967 | .258 | .328 | .445 | .773 |
| Carlos Cortes | 4.1 | .644 | .204 | .013 | .146 | .340 | .670 | .272 | .337 | .452 | .789 |
| Alika Williams | 4.0 | .686 | .182 | .015 | .068 | .241 | .782 | .258 | .311 | .371 | .682 |
| Jeff McNeil | 3.9 | .690 | .173 | .019 | .086 | .279 | .439 | .275 | .338 | .408 | .746 |
| Henry Bolte | 3.7 | .652 | .177 | .024 | .104 | .274 | 1.016 | .280 | .343 | .438 | .781 |
Data notes: home starter Gage Jump: only 71 BF vs LHB this season · game-time temp 98F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections