Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds

August 10, 2026 · Freddy Peralta vs Jacob Lopez · 83°F

5.5% edge · Athletics

Tampa Bay Rays win

53.5%

Athletics win

46.5%

Fair line (home)

+115

Proj. total

9.42

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Tampa Bay Rays (mean 5.02)Athletics (mean 4.40)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.42

Over

36.9%

Under

55.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Tampa Bay Rays	53.5%	-152	-115
Athletics	46.5%	+139	+115

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Yandy Díaz	4.9	.911	.221	.012	.185	.568	.698	.309	.396	.494	.890
Jonathan Aranda	4.8	.779	.194	.003	.181	.624	1.141	.281	.386	.462	.847
Junior Caminero	4.7	.695	.189	.006	.340	.482	.867	.292	.369	.583	.951
Ryan Vilade	4.6	.698	.187	.027	.125	.429	1.101	.251	.329	.401	.730
Jonny DeLuca	4.5	.664	.199	.028	.138	.369	.912	.253	.322	.417	.739
Chandler Simpson	4.4	1.018	.128	.060	.015	.288	.461	.300	.349	.372	.721
Nick Fortes	4.3	.727	.176	.008	.113	.257	.651	.260	.318	.396	.713
Taylor Walls	4.2	.582	.151	.022	.060	.465	.996	.223	.316	.325	.641
Carson Williams	4.0	.481	.134	.024	.142	.366	1.352	.214	.291	.381	.672

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Jeff McNeil	4.6	.759	.190	.021	.106	.410	.623	.260	.338	.393	.731
Tyler Soderstrom	4.5	.583	.205	.013	.230	.485	.978	.260	.347	.492	.840
Jacob Wilson	4.4	.866	.221	.007	.115	.286	.433	.298	.351	.440	.792
Carlos Cortes	4.3	.592	.198	.012	.155	.414	.861	.249	.327	.428	.755
Lawrence Butler	4.2	.547	.168	.010	.168	.435	1.149	.239	.320	.424	.744
Jonah Heim	4.1	.570	.143	.006	.148	.318	.838	.232	.296	.392	.688
Henry Bolte	4.0	.614	.154	.023	.116	.345	1.224	.254	.331	.408	.739
Donovan Walton	3.9	.597	.137	.009	.091	.354	.742	.241	.320	.365	.684
Zack Gelof	3.7	.488	.143	.011	.160	.338	1.127	.238	.314	.429	.743

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections