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6.8% edge · AthleticsTampa Bay Rays vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds
August 12, 2026 · Drew Rasmussen vs Jack Perkins · 78°F
Tampa Bay Rays win
60.0%
Athletics win
40.0%
Fair line (home)
+150
Proj. total
9.16
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Tampa Bay Rays (mean 5.24)Athletics (mean 3.92)
Totals
O/U line
9
Proj. total
9.16
Over
42.0%
Under
47.8%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 60.0% | -215 | -150 |
| Athletics | 40.0% | +195 | +150 |
Tampa Bay Rays — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Díaz | 5.0 | .912 | .220 | .012 | .172 | .575 | .714 | .303 | .392 | .477 | .869 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 4.9 | .787 | .198 | .004 | .172 | .652 | 1.151 | .279 | .387 | .453 | .840 |
| Junior Caminero | 4.8 | .721 | .193 | .006 | .328 | .493 | .870 | .293 | .370 | .572 | .941 |
| Liam Hicks | 4.7 | .788 | .163 | .017 | .121 | .574 | .593 | .272 | .374 | .412 | .786 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. | 4.6 | .684 | .186 | .019 | .135 | .434 | .998 | .250 | .326 | .404 | .730 |
| Jonny DeLuca | 4.5 | .658 | .203 | .024 | .130 | .366 | .891 | .252 | .321 | .411 | .732 |
| Cedric Mullins | 4.3 | .587 | .166 | .021 | .139 | .458 | .935 | .238 | .327 | .402 | .729 |
| Richie Palacios | 4.2 | .656 | .171 | .028 | .064 | .532 | .788 | .252 | .355 | .367 | .723 |
| Taylor Walls | 4.1 | .560 | .145 | .027 | .051 | .508 | .987 | .219 | .320 | .317 | .637 |
Athletics — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Walton | 4.5 | .738 | .174 | .013 | .092 | .325 | .837 | .244 | .305 | .358 | .663 |
| Tyler Soderstrom | 4.4 | .619 | .213 | .016 | .209 | .394 | .936 | .265 | .337 | .483 | .820 |
| Zack Gelof | 4.3 | .632 | .178 | .011 | .163 | .307 | 1.234 | .247 | .307 | .421 | .728 |
| Carlos Cortes | 4.2 | .643 | .199 | .013 | .136 | .323 | .810 | .256 | .318 | .419 | .738 |
| Lawrence Butler | 4.1 | .590 | .176 | .010 | .149 | .341 | 1.073 | .246 | .311 | .416 | .727 |
| Henry Bolte | 4.0 | .680 | .168 | .026 | .103 | .271 | 1.207 | .264 | .324 | .407 | .732 |
| Max Muncy | 3.9 | .576 | .169 | .019 | .117 | .214 | 1.158 | .242 | .295 | .395 | .690 |
| Tommy White | 3.8 | .683 | .176 | .015 | .088 | .152 | .657 | .267 | .303 | .396 | .700 |
| Brian Serven | 3.7 | .484 | .129 | .009 | .071 | .271 | 1.128 | .206 | .272 | .313 | .585 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections