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2.1% edge · AthleticsTexas Rangers vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds
August 15, 2026 · MacKenzie Gore vs J.T. Ginn · 79°F
Texas Rangers win
58.0%
Athletics win
42.0%
Fair line (home)
+138
Proj. total
9.15
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Texas Rangers (mean 5.11)Athletics (mean 4.04)
Totals
O/U line
9.5
Proj. total
9.15
Over
41.6%
Under
58.4%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 58.0% | -159 | -138 |
| Athletics | 42.0% | +146 | +138 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 4.9 | .696 | .156 | .028 | .222 | .609 | 1.079 | .260 | .364 | .466 | .831 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.8 | .812 | .198 | .024 | .168 | .489 | .979 | .281 | .364 | .456 | .821 |
| Corey Seager | 4.7 | .715 | .199 | .004 | .219 | .557 | .924 | .276 | .367 | .485 | .852 |
| Wyatt Langford | 4.6 | .694 | .187 | .027 | .184 | .557 | .984 | .272 | .366 | .469 | .836 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 4.5 | .783 | .218 | .022 | .109 | .284 | .986 | .271 | .324 | .412 | .737 |
| Evan Carter | 4.4 | .624 | .159 | .042 | .133 | .519 | .976 | .251 | .351 | .420 | .771 |
| Jake Burger | 4.3 | .635 | .179 | .007 | .192 | .302 | 1.045 | .258 | .321 | .455 | .776 |
| Austin Wynns | 4.2 | .634 | .162 | .008 | .112 | .299 | 1.062 | .238 | .299 | .372 | .670 |
| Nicky Lopez | 4.1 | .815 | .142 | .022 | .023 | .327 | .608 | .271 | .339 | .340 | .679 |
Athletics — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Bolte | 4.6 | .757 | .189 | .028 | .124 | .394 | 1.423 | .265 | .338 | .414 | .752 |
| Zack Gelof | 4.5 | .612 | .180 | .016 | .187 | .405 | 1.352 | .246 | .320 | .438 | .758 |
| Jeff McNeil | 4.4 | .758 | .200 | .019 | .099 | .388 | .606 | .274 | .348 | .410 | .759 |
| Jonah Heim | 4.3 | .631 | .157 | .004 | .150 | .315 | .898 | .240 | .301 | .396 | .697 |
| Tommy White | 4.2 | .727 | .195 | .014 | .109 | .219 | .794 | .267 | .312 | .407 | .719 |
| Lawrence Butler | 4.1 | .541 | .176 | .010 | .152 | .423 | 1.110 | .243 | .325 | .423 | .748 |
| Max Muncy | 4.0 | .545 | .167 | .020 | .123 | .281 | 1.225 | .237 | .303 | .397 | .700 |
| Brian Serven | 3.8 | .504 | .144 | .011 | .077 | .354 | 1.223 | .214 | .294 | .329 | .623 |
| Alika Williams | 3.7 | .604 | .159 | .013 | .064 | .266 | .853 | .246 | .307 | .357 | .665 |
Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections