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4.4% edge · AthleticsTexas Rangers vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds
August 16, 2026 · Cody Bradford vs Jacob Lopez · 87°F
Texas Rangers win
50.6%
Athletics win
49.4%
Fair line (home)
+103
Proj. total
9.43
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Texas Rangers (mean 4.87)Athletics (mean 4.56)
Totals
O/U line
9.5
Proj. total
9.43
Over
43.7%
Under
56.3%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers | 50.6% | -128 | -103 |
| Athletics | 49.4% | +118 | +103 |
Texas Rangers — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Langford | 4.9 | .689 | .195 | .026 | .224 | .623 | 1.069 | .270 | .370 | .489 | .858 |
| Ezequiel Duran | 4.8 | .784 | .230 | .022 | .136 | .313 | 1.088 | .266 | .322 | .422 | .743 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 4.6 | .728 | .190 | .020 | .180 | .488 | .990 | .274 | .360 | .462 | .822 |
| Jake Burger | 4.5 | .658 | .184 | .009 | .247 | .335 | 1.106 | .265 | .328 | .492 | .820 |
| Justin Foscue | 4.4 | .583 | .210 | .005 | .147 | .474 | .886 | .243 | .333 | .412 | .745 |
| Cody Freeman | 4.3 | .733 | .198 | .007 | .127 | .301 | .632 | .267 | .323 | .416 | .739 |
| Elias Díaz | 4.2 | .634 | .168 | .007 | .144 | .293 | .981 | .246 | .304 | .404 | .708 |
| Austin Wynns | 4.1 | .601 | .147 | .007 | .124 | .292 | 1.084 | .233 | .294 | .374 | .668 |
| Evan Carter | 4.0 | .532 | .137 | .038 | .134 | .495 | .923 | .246 | .351 | .425 | .775 |
Athletics — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Bolte | 4.6 | .811 | .208 | .028 | .161 | .319 | 1.242 | .286 | .346 | .463 | .809 |
| Zack Gelof | 4.5 | .671 | .196 | .015 | .216 | .324 | 1.192 | .265 | .323 | .476 | .800 |
| Jacob Wilson | 4.4 | .936 | .247 | .008 | .118 | .219 | .363 | .317 | .357 | .467 | .824 |
| Jonah Heim | 4.3 | .677 | .164 | .004 | .175 | .244 | .763 | .254 | .301 | .428 | .729 |
| Tommy White | 4.2 | .765 | .210 | .017 | .124 | .168 | .644 | .281 | .316 | .436 | .753 |
| Lawrence Butler | 4.1 | .583 | .177 | .011 | .186 | .333 | .979 | .257 | .320 | .460 | .780 |
| Max Muncy | 4.0 | .618 | .188 | .020 | .157 | .213 | 1.074 | .266 | .316 | .455 | .770 |
| Alika Williams | 3.9 | .665 | .187 | .015 | .081 | .206 | .762 | .263 | .310 | .391 | .701 |
| Darell Hernaiz | 3.7 | .713 | .171 | .017 | .059 | .279 | .523 | .281 | .340 | .394 | .734 |
Data notes: away starter Cody Bradford: only 21 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Cody Bradford: only 25 BF vs RHB this season · game-time temp 87F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections