Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds

September 22, 2026 · Yusei Kikuchi vs Brady Basso · 74°F

0.6% edge · Athletics

Los Angeles Angels win

49.6%

Athletics win

50.3%

Fair line (home)

-101

Proj. total

8.86

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.54)Athletics (mean 4.32)

Totals

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

8.86

Over

39.0%

Under

61.0%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	49.6%	-105	+101
Athletics	50.3%	-103	-101

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Yusei Kikuchi LHP · Los Angeles Angels	4.9	5.2	5.1	1.6	2.3
Brady Basso LHP · Athletics	2.2	2.0	2.4	0.7	0.9

Strikeout ladder

Yusei Kikuchi4+ 79%6+ 42%8+ 13%

Brady Basso4+ 12%6+ 1%8+ 0%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.9	.697	.215	.025	.193	.410	1.210	.259	.337	.453	.790
Mike Trout	4.7	.637	.171	.008	.200	.766	1.183	.259	.388	.460	.848
Vaughn Grissom	4.6	.801	.217	.005	.122	.346	.818	.271	.336	.411	.747
Denzer Guzman	4.5	.708	.194	.011	.148	.322	1.103	.254	.313	.413	.725
Moisés Ballesteros	4.4	.766	.183	.007	.129	.387	.781	.271	.340	.417	.756
Jose Siri	4.3	.557	.161	.017	.164	.302	1.379	.226	.288	.399	.687
Wade Meckler	4.2	.810	.172	.013	.058	.432	.778	.281	.360	.380	.740
Christian Moore	4.1	.594	.143	.033	.103	.415	1.169	.239	.322	.380	.702
Bryce Teodosio	4.0	.593	.141	.031	.065	.227	1.160	.224	.278	.331	.610

Athletics — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Henry Bolte	4.6	.738	.171	.025	.153	.393	1.387	.264	.339	.429	.768
Shea Langeliers	4.5	.604	.193	.006	.262	.402	1.056	.264	.336	.509	.845
Lawrence Butler	4.4	.590	.178	.012	.182	.469	1.151	.248	.331	.441	.772
Zack Gelof	4.3	.607	.167	.017	.186	.393	1.177	.255	.329	.452	.781
Tommy White	4.2	.732	.176	.010	.123	.197	.750	.264	.305	.408	.712
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer	4.0	.846	.202	.015	.069	.209	.524	.298	.342	.414	.756
Jonah Heim	3.9	.570	.143	.003	.135	.299	.785	.235	.298	.388	.686
Alika Williams	3.8	.631	.180	.013	.076	.260	.802	.255	.313	.379	.692
Denzel Clarke	3.7	.501	.138	.032	.096	.297	1.260	.228	.299	.374	.673

Data notes: home starter Brady Basso: only 66 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Yusei Kikuchi: only 69 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections