Los Angeles Angels vs Athletics — Prediction & Odds

September 23, 2026 · Walbert Ureña vs Jeffrey Springs · 83°F

5.7% edge · Athletics

Los Angeles Angels win

48.0%

Athletics win

52.0%

Fair line (home)

-108

Proj. total

9.64

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.83)Athletics (mean 4.81)

Totals

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

9.64

Over

46.1%

Under

53.9%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	48.0%	-121	+108
Athletics	52.0%	+112	-108

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Walbert Ureña RHP · Los Angeles Angels	4.8	4.2	5.2	2.4	2.5
Jeffrey Springs LHP · Athletics	4.9	4.8	5.4	1.6	2.6

Strikeout ladder

Walbert Ureña4+ 63%6+ 25%8+ 6%

Jeffrey Springs4+ 72%6+ 35%8+ 10%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.9	.699	.212	.025	.258	.387	1.184	.272	.343	.508	.852
Mike Trout	4.8	.648	.172	.006	.259	.718	1.165	.273	.391	.515	.905
Vaughn Grissom	4.7	.834	.222	.005	.148	.329	.788	.284	.342	.442	.784
Denzer Guzman	4.5	.717	.191	.013	.189	.297	1.083	.263	.315	.449	.764
Wade Meckler	4.4	.871	.197	.013	.079	.453	.795	.293	.368	.409	.778
Jose Siri	4.3	.575	.158	.018	.211	.295	1.332	.240	.299	.447	.746
Christian Moore	4.2	.624	.149	.035	.130	.404	1.159	.248	.325	.408	.733
Bryce Teodosio	4.1	.635	.154	.028	.088	.212	1.159	.235	.282	.358	.640
Tyler Heineman	4.0	.696	.122	.018	.071	.238	.677	.248	.307	.349	.656

Athletics — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Henry Bolte	4.7	.817	.193	.028	.134	.473	1.254	.282	.367	.438	.805
Lawrence Butler	4.6	.663	.186	.014	.166	.590	1.075	.257	.356	.436	.791
Shea Langeliers	4.5	.645	.205	.005	.237	.467	.939	.274	.356	.507	.863
Jeff McNeil	4.4	.798	.210	.017	.099	.396	.478	.287	.363	.425	.788
Zack Gelof	4.3	.633	.168	.016	.161	.448	1.070	.258	.343	.438	.781
Donovan Walton	4.2	.671	.166	.014	.102	.473	.644	.262	.356	.399	.755
Carlos Cortes	4.1	.622	.192	.012	.124	.412	.700	.262	.342	.424	.766
Alika Williams	4.0	.681	.199	.014	.075	.296	.727	.267	.331	.392	.723
Brian Serven	3.9	.535	.143	.009	.099	.360	1.053	.229	.311	.362	.673

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections