Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Odds

July 19, 2026 · Nathan Eovaldi vs Grant Holmes · 78°F

3.8% edge · Atlanta Braves

Texas Rangers win

48.8%

Atlanta Braves win

51.2%

Fair line (home)

-105

Proj. total

8.85

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Texas Rangers (mean 4.50)Atlanta Braves (mean 4.35)

O/U line

Proj. total

8.85

Over

38.8%

Under

50.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Texas Rangers	48.8%	-116	+105
Atlanta Braves	51.2%	+107	-105

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Joc Pederson	4.8	.607	.131	.022	.246	.568	1.133	.242	.344	.462	.806
Wyatt Langford	4.7	.653	.183	.024	.193	.518	1.110	.255	.343	.451	.795
Josh Jung	4.6	.760	.198	.007	.171	.283	1.075	.267	.318	.437	.754
Brandon Nimmo	4.5	.670	.174	.021	.157	.437	1.008	.257	.338	.429	.767
Jake Burger	4.4	.612	.162	.009	.223	.291	1.121	.250	.309	.461	.769
Ezequiel Duran	4.3	.687	.194	.018	.106	.247	1.016	.253	.303	.391	.694
Evan Carter	4.2	.539	.134	.038	.127	.465	1.012	.230	.326	.393	.719
Nicky Lopez	4.0	.731	.130	.017	.027	.323	.660	.246	.314	.313	.627
Kyle Higashioka	3.9	.516	.126	.009	.160	.278	.999	.224	.284	.397	.681

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drake Baldwin	4.6	.760	.149	.013	.196	.354	.969	.268	.332	.451	.784
Ozzie Albies	4.5	.768	.193	.011	.157	.266	.700	.273	.324	.438	.763
Matt Olson	4.3	.604	.202	.006	.229	.436	1.086	.268	.347	.500	.848
Michael Harris II	4.3	.789	.191	.021	.186	.163	.868	.293	.324	.488	.812
Mauricio Dubón	4.2	.783	.197	.016	.086	.207	.575	.276	.317	.401	.717
Dominic Smith	4.0	.707	.155	.014	.108	.276	.808	.265	.322	.401	.723
Austin Riley	3.9	.603	.158	.013	.159	.262	1.115	.258	.316	.441	.757
Jim Jarvis	3.8	.642	.161	.019	.048	.261	.746	.247	.305	.345	.650
Brewer Hicklen	3.7	.516	.123	.023	.122	.248	1.196	.232	.295	.390	.685

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections