Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Odds

July 31, 2026 · Foster Griffin vs Bryce Elder · 89°F

4.2% edge · Atlanta Braves

Washington Nationals win

44.5%

Atlanta Braves win

55.5%

Fair line (home)

-125

Proj. total

9.99

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Washington Nationals (mean 4.86)Atlanta Braves (mean 5.13)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.99

Over

49.6%

Under

40.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Washington Nationals	44.5%	+101	+125
Atlanta Braves	55.5%	-110	-125

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
James Wood	4.8	.656	.221	.013	.273	.638	1.283	.279	.379	.535	.914
Luis García Jr.	4.7	.858	.222	.027	.223	.232	.648	.296	.333	.507	.840
Dylan Crews	4.6	.718	.187	.021	.169	.299	.948	.257	.314	.430	.744
CJ Abrams	4.5	.709	.194	.032	.197	.298	.820	.274	.333	.479	.812
Brady House	4.4	.742	.177	.009	.154	.206	1.107	.260	.299	.417	.716
Daylen Lile	4.3	.762	.193	.055	.123	.255	.681	.284	.334	.453	.786
Harry Ford	4.2	.579	.154	.006	.098	.453	1.062	.228	.321	.353	.673
José Tena	4.1	.680	.179	.027	.103	.273	.983	.262	.316	.406	.722
Jacob Young	4.0	.717	.161	.020	.071	.249	.685	.265	.320	.378	.698

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4.7	.770	.184	.017	.231	.589	.937	.298	.395	.524	.919
Drake Baldwin	4.6	.781	.163	.013	.218	.394	.842	.285	.355	.490	.846
Matt Olson	4.5	.625	.208	.008	.272	.481	1.024	.283	.366	.547	.913
Ozzie Albies	4.3	.760	.197	.008	.161	.272	.590	.280	.335	.454	.789
Michael Harris II	4.2	.786	.190	.022	.204	.175	.810	.298	.332	.507	.839
Mauricio Dubón	4.1	.804	.189	.016	.093	.212	.519	.282	.324	.410	.734
Austin Riley	4.0	.625	.166	.013	.184	.288	1.049	.268	.329	.469	.799
Joey Bart	3.9	.623	.134	.010	.127	.320	1.092	.254	.330	.407	.737
Jim Jarvis	3.8	.670	.164	.019	.054	.285	.665	.261	.323	.365	.689

Data notes: game-time temp 89F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections