Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Odds

August 2, 2026 · Cade Cavalli vs JR Ritchie · 84°F

5.0% edge · Atlanta Braves

Washington Nationals win

42.6%

Atlanta Braves win

57.4%

Fair line (home)

-135

Proj. total

9.8

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Washington Nationals (mean 4.65)Atlanta Braves (mean 5.16)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.8

Over

47.6%

Under

42.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Washington Nationals	42.6%	+106	+135
Atlanta Braves	57.4%	-115	-135

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
James Wood	4.8	.632	.204	.011	.249	.736	1.323	.269	.385	.507	.892
Luis García Jr.	4.7	.830	.214	.028	.196	.278	.692	.285	.330	.478	.808
José Tena	4.6	.741	.201	.030	.108	.354	1.184	.255	.317	.394	.711
CJ Abrams	4.5	.668	.184	.026	.185	.348	.876	.262	.335	.457	.792
Dylan Crews	4.4	.645	.163	.018	.158	.323	.992	.246	.313	.414	.726
Daylen Lile	4.3	.721	.196	.054	.115	.299	.725	.275	.334	.440	.774
Nasim Nuñez	4.2	.699	.085	.031	.047	.430	.973	.231	.315	.309	.624
Jorbit Vivas	4.1	.638	.157	.008	.070	.425	.585	.244	.337	.351	.688
Keibert Ruiz	4.0	.665	.163	.004	.119	.199	.476	.256	.302	.398	.700

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drake Baldwin	4.7	.794	.167	.013	.202	.470	.888	.281	.363	.473	.836
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4.6	.744	.172	.019	.198	.658	.915	.293	.406	.501	.906
Matt Olson	4.5	.636	.203	.007	.237	.562	1.026	.279	.376	.518	.894
Michael Harris II	4.4	.821	.198	.023	.196	.210	.812	.299	.339	.500	.839
Ozzie Albies	4.3	.733	.194	.011	.140	.326	.612	.276	.341	.440	.781
Mauricio Dubón	4.2	.795	.202	.017	.080	.250	.532	.281	.329	.403	.732
Mike Yastrzemski	4.1	.551	.161	.018	.150	.466	.898	.248	.343	.430	.773
Austin Riley	4.0	.601	.161	.012	.164	.331	1.050	.264	.337	.454	.791
Jim Jarvis	3.8	.643	.171	.019	.050	.316	.684	.255	.326	.358	.685

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections