Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Odds

August 1, 2026 · Miles Mikolas vs Reynaldo López · 84°F

5.0% edge · Atlanta Braves

Washington Nationals win

34.3%

Atlanta Braves win

65.7%

Fair line (home)

-192

Proj. total

10.11

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Washington Nationals (mean 4.36)Atlanta Braves (mean 5.75)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

10.11

Over

50.4%

Under

49.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Washington Nationals	34.3%	+149	+192
Atlanta Braves	65.7%	-163	-192

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
James Wood	4.8	.603	.194	.011	.255	.669	1.396	.261	.369	.503	.872
Luis García Jr.	4.7	.799	.211	.025	.209	.249	.750	.283	.324	.485	.809
Dylan Crews	4.5	.651	.168	.019	.159	.318	1.071	.239	.301	.403	.704
CJ Abrams	4.4	.659	.185	.025	.182	.311	.898	.260	.324	.453	.777
Keibert Ruiz	4.3	.713	.178	.005	.137	.196	.554	.252	.293	.398	.691
Daylen Lile	4.2	.699	.187	.049	.115	.267	.777	.268	.321	.429	.750
Nasim Nuñez	4.1	.680	.091	.031	.042	.386	1.006	.228	.305	.304	.608
Jorbit Vivas	4.0	.614	.155	.006	.070	.389	.614	.238	.325	.345	.670
Jacob Young	3.9	.662	.142	.018	.071	.247	.757	.249	.305	.357	.662

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drake Baldwin	4.7	.837	.176	.013	.265	.387	.690	.302	.366	.535	.901
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4.6	.815	.179	.018	.255	.569	.736	.319	.410	.565	.975
Matt Olson	4.5	.676	.224	.009	.310	.474	.845	.306	.383	.599	.983
Michael Harris II	4.4	.859	.212	.025	.243	.179	.653	.320	.351	.557	.909
Ozzie Albies	4.3	.768	.200	.011	.173	.281	.477	.292	.345	.479	.824
Dominic Smith	4.2	.768	.169	.017	.142	.299	.623	.286	.343	.449	.793
Austin Riley	4.1	.658	.181	.014	.210	.298	.904	.286	.346	.512	.858
Mike Yastrzemski	4.0	.559	.166	.023	.192	.390	.733	.267	.346	.491	.836
Jim Jarvis	3.8	.693	.171	.019	.058	.293	.558	.269	.331	.378	.708

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections