Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Odds

August 5, 2026 · Eury Pérez vs Bryce Elder · 75°F

0.2% edge · Atlanta Braves

Miami Marlins win

45.7%

Atlanta Braves win

54.3%

Fair line (home)

-119

Proj. total

9.21

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Miami Marlins (mean 4.54)Atlanta Braves (mean 4.67)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.21

Over

53.3%

Under

46.8%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Miami Marlins	45.7%	+113	+119
Atlanta Braves	54.3%	-123	-119

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Xavier Edwards	4.8	1.032	.157	.066	.055	.449	.599	.300	.368	.404	.772
Kyle Stowers	4.7	.636	.196	.035	.206	.411	1.326	.252	.326	.460	.785
Otto Lopez	4.6	.918	.218	.037	.104	.277	.613	.297	.344	.438	.782
Griffin Conine	4.5	.606	.165	.012	.182	.408	1.369	.238	.314	.419	.733
Heriberto Hernández	4.4	.606	.168	.020	.188	.424	1.122	.250	.328	.446	.774
Owen Caissie	4.3	.588	.181	.010	.167	.353	1.398	.242	.310	.422	.731
Jakob Marsee	4.2	.583	.145	.038	.088	.466	.885	.233	.328	.366	.693
Joe Mack	4.1	.570	.143	.009	.137	.311	1.033	.230	.294	.384	.678
Javier Sanoja	4.0	.690	.205	.029	.074	.231	.388	.270	.316	.401	.717

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drake Baldwin	4.6	.705	.141	.010	.211	.489	1.034	.261	.346	.455	.801
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4.5	.640	.147	.017	.202	.703	1.055	.267	.390	.476	.866
Matt Olson	4.4	.543	.177	.007	.254	.563	1.167	.257	.357	.506	.863
Michael Harris II	4.3	.711	.181	.020	.200	.215	.962	.273	.314	.474	.788
Ozzie Albies	4.2	.656	.162	.009	.145	.346	.719	.255	.324	.416	.740
Mauricio Dubón	4.1	.710	.172	.015	.093	.270	.636	.260	.314	.386	.700
Lane Thomas	4.0	.522	.156	.008	.126	.424	1.077	.231	.321	.387	.708
Austin Riley	3.9	.521	.139	.011	.156	.340	1.213	.237	.312	.417	.729
Sean Murphy	3.8	.396	.119	.006	.143	.410	1.162	.203	.306	.375	.681

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections