Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Odds

August 6, 2026 · Janson Junk vs Martín Pérez · 84°F

1.8% edge · Atlanta Braves

Miami Marlins win

40.2%

Atlanta Braves win

59.8%

Fair line (home)

-149

Proj. total

9.55

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Miami Marlins (mean 4.40)Atlanta Braves (mean 5.15)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.55

Over

45.0%

Under

44.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Miami Marlins	40.2%	+133	+149
Atlanta Braves	59.8%	-145	-149

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Otto Lopez	4.8	.941	.220	.034	.114	.329	.650	.294	.347	.436	.783
Heriberto Hernández	4.7	.638	.167	.018	.206	.484	1.195	.247	.330	.443	.774
Agustín Ramírez	4.6	.663	.203	.012	.172	.353	.908	.250	.314	.427	.741
Xavier Edwards	4.5	.960	.144	.043	.051	.410	.558	.297	.364	.392	.756
Leo Jiménez	4.4	.685	.182	.008	.088	.365	.901	.247	.328	.366	.694
Kyle Stowers	4.3	.547	.171	.033	.182	.421	1.209	.246	.328	.452	.781
Javier Sanoja	4.2	.736	.209	.031	.080	.257	.412	.272	.321	.404	.725
Esteury Ruiz	4.0	.600	.162	.027	.103	.344	.966	.245	.322	.390	.712
Brian Navarreto	3.9	.555	.144	.011	.091	.231	.955	.218	.270	.337	.607

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drake Baldwin	4.7	.823	.175	.013	.229	.377	.770	.292	.356	.501	.857
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4.5	.781	.180	.018	.230	.542	.797	.306	.396	.535	.931
Matt Olson	4.4	.651	.213	.009	.260	.467	.890	.288	.368	.544	.912
Michael Harris II	4.3	.846	.205	.023	.211	.170	.707	.310	.341	.523	.865
Mauricio Dubón	4.2	.830	.201	.015	.102	.213	.469	.287	.327	.422	.749
Mike Yastrzemski	4.1	.590	.162	.020	.162	.400	.844	.254	.333	.440	.773
Dominic Smith	4.0	.715	.163	.014	.120	.289	.661	.275	.334	.424	.758
Austin Riley	3.9	.624	.164	.013	.166	.275	.949	.270	.329	.462	.791
Jim Jarvis	3.8	.665	.166	.021	.048	.277	.620	.259	.320	.361	.681

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections