Arizona Diamondbacks vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Odds

August 15, 2026 · Eduardo Rodriguez vs Grant Holmes · 93°F

2.8% edge · Atlanta Braves

Arizona Diamondbacks win

41.7%

Atlanta Braves win

58.3%

Fair line (home)

-140

Proj. total

10.48

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Arizona Diamondbacks (mean 4.94)Atlanta Braves (mean 5.54)

O/U line

Proj. total

10.48

Over

53.2%

Under

36.4%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Arizona Diamondbacks	41.7%	+120	+140
Atlanta Braves	58.3%	-131	-140

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Lars Nootbaar	4.9	.700	.196	.017	.170	.624	.995	.255	.354	.428	.782
Corbin Carroll	4.8	.633	.184	.095	.218	.549	1.021	.270	.361	.515	.876
Geraldo Perdomo	4.7	.780	.169	.039	.110	.597	.617	.272	.373	.415	.789
Gabriel Moreno	4.6	.831	.219	.010	.131	.472	.739	.293	.371	.448	.819
Max Kepler	4.5	.650	.192	.016	.149	.413	.919	.251	.326	.418	.744
Nolan Arenado	4.4	.685	.181	.008	.160	.323	.749	.259	.320	.428	.748
Tim Tawa	4.2	.572	.166	.025	.145	.365	1.014	.236	.307	.405	.712
Ildemaro Vargas	4.1	.746	.168	.040	.079	.238	.448	.267	.316	.393	.709
Ryan Waldschmidt	4.0	.601	.174	.030	.069	.403	1.044	.246	.332	.370	.702

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4.8	.834	.181	.021	.224	.680	.831	.313	.416	.534	.951
Drake Baldwin	4.6	.799	.169	.013	.229	.455	.780	.292	.366	.504	.870
Matt Olson	4.5	.649	.224	.007	.260	.563	.929	.290	.382	.549	.931
Ozzie Albies	4.4	.794	.209	.010	.155	.315	.546	.288	.344	.458	.802
Michael Harris II	4.3	.825	.208	.020	.204	.204	.728	.308	.344	.520	.864
Mauricio Dubón	4.2	.821	.205	.015	.099	.247	.473	.291	.335	.426	.761
Lane Thomas	4.1	.621	.201	.011	.144	.395	.877	.267	.345	.446	.791
Austin Riley	4.0	.637	.174	.014	.169	.343	.961	.276	.345	.473	.818
Sean Murphy	3.9	.487	.148	.008	.165	.414	.950	.238	.331	.432	.763

Data notes: game-time temp 93F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections