Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Odds

August 25, 2026 · Tyler Glasnow vs Bryce Elder · 89°F

1.9% edge · Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers win

56.4%

Atlanta Braves win

43.6%

Fair line (home)

+129

Proj. total

10.17

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.57)Atlanta Braves (mean 4.60)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

10.17

Over

60.4%

Under

39.6%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	56.4%	-146	-129
Atlanta Braves	43.6%	+135	+129

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Tyler Glasnow RHP · Los Angeles Dodgers	4.8	5.6	4.5	2.0	2.3
Bryce Elder RHP · Atlanta Braves	5.2	4.0	6.0	2.3	3.2

Strikeout ladder

Tyler Glasnow4+ 83%6+ 50%8+ 20%

Bryce Elder4+ 57%6+ 21%8+ 4%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	5.0	.671	.196	.046	.368	.649	1.107	.300	.396	.626	1.022
Freddie Freeman	4.8	.852	.244	.015	.203	.472	.789	.304	.379	.508	.887
Mookie Betts	4.7	.775	.216	.018	.208	.438	.515	.285	.356	.491	.846
Max Muncy	4.6	.557	.149	.014	.277	.594	1.077	.251	.355	.504	.859
Tommy Edman	4.5	.753	.165	.037	.144	.256	.829	.262	.312	.422	.734
Kyle Tucker	4.4	.655	.171	.025	.216	.534	.679	.278	.369	.504	.873
Alex Call	4.3	.655	.169	.013	.107	.470	.781	.250	.340	.387	.727
Alek Thomas	4.2	.651	.182	.016	.147	.205	.894	.252	.294	.417	.711
Hunter Feduccia	4.1	.594	.143	.019	.104	.362	1.021	.233	.305	.367	.672

Atlanta Braves — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drake Baldwin	4.6	.683	.139	.011	.230	.500	1.082	.259	.345	.467	.812
Ronald Acuña Jr.	4.5	.592	.149	.013	.212	.661	1.204	.253	.368	.465	.833
Matt Olson	4.4	.502	.171	.005	.265	.586	1.290	.248	.353	.505	.858
Mauricio Dubón	4.3	.737	.183	.011	.099	.275	.723	.256	.307	.381	.689
Michael Harris II	4.2	.678	.173	.021	.201	.202	1.009	.269	.308	.475	.783
Ozzie Albies	4.1	.613	.150	.008	.147	.334	.798	.246	.315	.410	.724
Mike Yastrzemski	4.0	.442	.140	.018	.157	.473	1.137	.217	.316	.403	.719
Austin Riley	3.9	.495	.138	.009	.168	.332	1.291	.232	.305	.420	.726
Sean Murphy	3.8	.396	.117	.006	.157	.395	1.229	.205	.301	.387	.688

Data notes: away starter Tyler Glasnow: only 53 BF vs RHB this season · game-time temp 89F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections