Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves — Prediction & Odds

August 27, 2026 · Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Chris Sale · 78°F

0.5% edge · Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers win

46.2%

Atlanta Braves win

53.8%

Fair line (home)

-117

Proj. total

8.06

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 3.94)Atlanta Braves (mean 4.12)

Totals

O/U line

6.5

Proj. total

8.06

Over

62.0%

Under

38.0%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	46.2%	+110	+117
Atlanta Braves	53.8%	-119	-117

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHP · Los Angeles Dodgers	5.8	5.7	5.7	1.8	2.5
Chris Sale LHP · Atlanta Braves	5.5	6.3	4.9	1.6	2.0

Strikeout ladder

Yoshinobu Yamamoto4+ 83%6+ 51%8+ 20%

Chris Sale4+ 89%6+ 62%8+ 29%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Dodgers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.7	.558	.161	.033	.288	.527	1.409	.253	.343	.518	.861
Tommy Edman	4.6	.694	.156	.020	.116	.210	1.161	.230	.280	.357	.638
Mookie Betts	4.5	.679	.183	.015	.165	.375	.731	.257	.325	.431	.756
Freddie Freeman	4.4	.696	.206	.011	.145	.381	.986	.269	.343	.439	.781
Teoscar Hernández	4.3	.590	.162	.005	.184	.245	1.392	.237	.289	.420	.709
Miguel Rojas	4.2	.706	.190	.004	.085	.233	.705	.254	.303	.370	.673
Alex Call	4.0	.555	.142	.009	.087	.389	.981	.221	.308	.338	.646
Enrique Hernández	3.9	.520	.149	.011	.106	.212	1.126	.212	.259	.344	.603
Ben Rortvedt	3.8	.455	.109	.005	.084	.255	1.192	.187	.254	.293	.546

Atlanta Braves — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Drake Baldwin	4.5	.724	.150	.011	.198	.404	.954	.266	.338	.454	.792
Ozzie Albies	4.4	.688	.173	.010	.150	.309	.772	.252	.312	.411	.722
Matt Olson	4.3	.532	.183	.006	.227	.483	1.178	.251	.340	.482	.822
Mauricio Dubón	4.2	.767	.182	.013	.083	.211	.625	.263	.304	.378	.682
Michael Harris II	4.1	.693	.178	.023	.175	.166	.898	.273	.307	.464	.771
Lane Thomas	4.0	.512	.157	.006	.131	.340	1.192	.223	.296	.378	.674
Mike Yastrzemski	3.9	.464	.143	.015	.138	.405	1.036	.221	.309	.391	.700
Austin Riley	3.8	.517	.137	.012	.158	.279	1.190	.239	.305	.424	.728
Ha-Seong Kim	3.6	.522	.126	.010	.069	.384	.828	.225	.312	.335	.647

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections