Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles — Prediction & Odds

August 5, 2026 · Reid Detmers vs Trevor Rogers · 82°F

3.9% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels win

48.4%

Baltimore Orioles win

51.6%

Fair line (home)

-106

Proj. total

9.21

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 4.65)Baltimore Orioles (mean 4.55)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.21

Over

53.0%

Under

39.3%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	48.4%	+120	+106
Baltimore Orioles	51.6%	-130	-106

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.8	.657	.213	.018	.232	.370	1.203	.255	.324	.470	.793
Mike Trout	4.7	.586	.152	.010	.251	.709	1.224	.252	.372	.485	.857
Nolan Schanuel	4.6	.844	.195	.008	.135	.478	.585	.289	.370	.440	.810
Vaughn Grissom	4.5	.813	.214	.005	.106	.343	.738	.277	.339	.409	.748
Moisés Ballesteros	4.4	.766	.196	.012	.124	.377	.735	.274	.340	.422	.762
Travis d'Arnaud	4.3	.579	.176	.006	.148	.271	1.091	.229	.286	.388	.674
Josh Lowe	4.2	.649	.187	.013	.147	.327	1.064	.260	.320	.430	.750
Jose Siri	4.1	.536	.139	.022	.170	.258	1.275	.229	.284	.413	.697
Adam Frazier	4.0	.670	.149	.013	.063	.264	.755	.245	.303	.345	.648

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Christian Franklin	4.6	.624	.140	.018	.091	.547	1.343	.218	.321	.330	.651
Pete Alonso	4.5	.563	.170	.005	.274	.509	1.090	.259	.356	.516	.872
Gunnar Henderson	4.4	.635	.174	.031	.204	.487	.945	.271	.359	.490	.849
Tyler O'Neill	4.3	.527	.135	.009	.216	.486	1.268	.236	.331	.450	.780
Coby Mayo	4.2	.499	.175	.011	.207	.417	1.218	.239	.322	.459	.782
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	4.1	.562	.166	.018	.190	.203	1.186	.244	.289	.446	.735
Jackson Holliday	4.0	.550	.137	.026	.123	.472	.965	.242	.339	.404	.742
Jeremiah Jackson	3.9	.604	.167	.011	.148	.182	.881	.256	.298	.430	.728
Carlos Narváez	3.7	.489	.150	.004	.110	.383	1.061	.228	.315	.376	.691

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections