Los Angeles Angels vs Baltimore Orioles — Prediction & Odds

August 6, 2026 · Ryan Johnson vs Brandon Young · 84°F

13.0% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels win

49.3%

Baltimore Orioles win

50.7%

Fair line (home)

-103

Proj. total

9.88

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 5.05)Baltimore Orioles (mean 4.83)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

9.88

Over

48.0%

Under

52.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	49.3%	+170	+103
Baltimore Orioles	50.7%	-186	-103

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Wade Meckler	4.9	.899	.208	.018	.085	.481	1.001	.276	.350	.390	.740
Mike Trout	4.8	.595	.160	.011	.283	.711	1.238	.261	.376	.517	.893
Nolan Schanuel	4.7	.848	.205	.005	.148	.476	.596	.291	.371	.451	.822
Zach Neto	4.6	.624	.204	.017	.230	.358	1.130	.260	.329	.484	.812
Vaughn Grissom	4.5	.821	.213	.007	.114	.326	.727	.283	.342	.422	.764
Moisés Ballesteros	4.3	.759	.201	.013	.138	.361	.723	.281	.344	.443	.786
Jose Siri	4.2	.548	.148	.027	.194	.273	1.318	.233	.288	.433	.721
Josh Lowe	4.1	.625	.182	.015	.161	.321	1.060	.260	.321	.444	.765
Oswald Peraza	4.0	.623	.135	.018	.129	.245	1.004	.243	.298	.393	.691

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Dylan Beavers	4.6	.697	.201	.014	.154	.567	.959	.264	.358	.435	.794
Pete Alonso	4.5	.607	.183	.005	.290	.461	.968	.273	.359	.540	.899
Gunnar Henderson	4.4	.666	.200	.030	.210	.446	.815	.282	.360	.508	.869
Christian Encarnacion-Strand	4.3	.623	.185	.021	.223	.192	1.117	.259	.299	.479	.778
Jackson Holliday	4.2	.628	.154	.027	.137	.459	.881	.255	.343	.422	.765
Leody Taveras	4.1	.673	.140	.045	.108	.317	.819	.257	.318	.405	.723
Jeremiah Jackson	4.0	.648	.196	.010	.157	.175	.800	.267	.304	.448	.752
Colton Cowser	3.9	.519	.141	.008	.172	.426	1.080	.247	.337	.445	.782
Yohel Pozo	3.8	.672	.179	.007	.131	.128	.476	.274	.303	.437	.740

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections