Athletics vs Boston Red Sox — Prediction & Odds

August 7, 2026 · Jack Perkins vs Payton Tolle · 90°F

12.0% edge · Athletics

Athletics win

41.3%

Boston Red Sox win

58.7%

Fair line (home)

-142

Proj. total

9.06

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Athletics (mean 4.22)Boston Red Sox (mean 4.84)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.06

Over

51.0%

Under

49.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Athletics	41.3%	+234	+142
Boston Red Sox	58.7%	-262	-142

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Henry Bolte	4.8	.802	.203	.031	.137	.365	1.436	.271	.337	.428	.765
Jacob Wilson	4.6	.936	.242	.008	.112	.286	.462	.301	.350	.438	.788
Jonah Heim	4.5	.670	.162	.004	.170	.308	.916	.240	.296	.402	.698
Tyler Soderstrom	4.4	.607	.197	.016	.211	.468	.927	.263	.346	.482	.828
Tommy White	4.3	.758	.203	.015	.113	.207	.788	.267	.308	.407	.716
Brian Serven	4.2	.558	.157	.012	.088	.359	1.317	.213	.288	.330	.618
Lawrence Butler	4.1	.569	.172	.010	.156	.396	1.090	.245	.320	.424	.744
Max Muncy	4.0	.571	.167	.024	.127	.258	1.223	.242	.301	.403	.705
Jonathan Ornelas	3.9	.592	.107	.021	.059	.270	1.086	.218	.279	.309	.588

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Nick Sogard	4.7	.775	.204	.015	.060	.597	1.014	.258	.359	.358	.717
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.6	.794	.238	.032	.142	.269	.910	.282	.334	.452	.786
Wilyer Abreu	4.5	.674	.214	.027	.187	.547	.978	.281	.373	.493	.866
Caleb Durbin	4.4	.748	.237	.017	.114	.372	.501	.287	.366	.445	.811
Masataka Yoshida	4.3	.817	.203	.018	.109	.376	.540	.299	.372	.447	.820
Andruw Monasterio	4.2	.709	.207	.008	.087	.428	.898	.273	.356	.404	.760
Jarren Duran	4.1	.596	.207	.052	.122	.385	1.002	.269	.348	.456	.803
Anthony Seigler	4.0	.567	.189	.020	.069	.540	.819	.250	.361	.379	.739
Jake Rogers	3.9	.485	.130	.024	.136	.404	1.088	.227	.315	.399	.713

Data notes: game-time temp 90F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections