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Athletics vs Boston Red Sox — Prediction & Odds

August 8, 2026 · Gage Jump vs Jake Bennett · 87°F
13.2% edge · Athletics
Athletics win
42.9%
Boston Red Sox win
57.1%
Fair line (home)
-133
Proj. total
9.37

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

0%7%14%03691215182124Runs scored
Athletics (mean 4.45)Boston Red Sox (mean 4.92)

Totals

O/U line
9
Proj. total
9.37
Over
44.1%
Under
45.9%

Model vs. market

SideModelBookFair
Athletics42.9%+229+133
Boston Red Sox57.1%-256-133

Athletics — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Henry Bolte4.8.887.226.032.121.3541.264.288.350.436.785
Jacob Wilson4.71.012.273.009.100.266.392.317.362.451.813
Jonah Heim4.6.738.179.005.144.281.800.248.299.393.692
Tyler Soderstrom4.5.680.227.018.184.429.821.276.352.479.831
Tommy White4.4.825.217.015.092.188.689.276.313.402.715
Brian Serven4.3.618.167.012.081.3391.189.226.294.337.631
Lawrence Butler4.2.622.198.010.143.373.974.258.328.430.757
Max Muncy4.0.633.190.025.115.2511.103.257.313.413.725
Alika Williams3.9.700.185.015.060.234.789.262.313.370.683

Boston Red Sox — projected lines

BatterPA1B2B3BHRBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
Jahmai Jones4.7.679.213.028.149.5341.194.259.354.433.787
Ceddanne Rafaela4.6.817.246.036.140.239.858.288.335.460.796
Caleb Durbin4.5.787.261.020.119.344.503.294.366.457.823
Willson Contreras4.4.665.207.018.226.4581.004.294.388.536.925
Andruw Monasterio4.3.732.220.007.084.400.907.272.347.398.745
Eli White4.2.707.140.033.125.3001.011.262.324.414.738
Nick Sogard4.1.690.185.010.053.436.865.262.349.363.712
Jarren Duran4.0.608.210.060.114.341.934.277.347.464.811
Connor Wong3.8.674.197.009.093.307.863.280.347.422.769
Data notes: home starter Jake Bennett: only 74 BF vs LHB this season · game-time temp 87F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections