Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox — Prediction & Odds

September 8, 2026 · Reid Detmers vs Patrick Sandoval · 72°F

2.0% edge · Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels win

45.4%

Boston Red Sox win

54.6%

Fair line (home)

-120

Proj. total

7.81

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Angels (mean 3.82)Boston Red Sox (mean 3.99)

Totals

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

7.81

Over

46.9%

Under

53.1%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Angels	45.4%	+126	+120
Boston Red Sox	54.6%	-136	-120

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Reid Detmers LHP · Los Angeles Angels	5.3	5.9	5.0	1.9	2.1
Patrick Sandoval LHP · Boston Red Sox	5.2	5.7	4.8	2.2	2.1

Strikeout ladder

Reid Detmers4+ 87%6+ 56%8+ 23%

Patrick Sandoval4+ 84%6+ 51%8+ 20%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Los Angeles Angels — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Zach Neto	4.8	.635	.200	.020	.147	.421	1.285	.236	.317	.395	.712
Mike Trout	4.7	.584	.156	.006	.157	.775	1.284	.237	.372	.404	.777
Jose Siri	4.5	.575	.166	.018	.134	.332	1.529	.215	.280	.360	.640
Vaughn Grissom	4.4	.776	.201	.004	.087	.340	.844	.265	.329	.381	.711
Moisés Ballesteros	4.3	.702	.188	.007	.096	.407	.830	.256	.330	.382	.712
Christian Moore	4.2	.591	.146	.031	.093	.446	1.288	.230	.318	.361	.678
Kyren Paris	4.1	.503	.136	.017	.091	.421	1.422	.204	.292	.324	.616
Denzer Guzman	4.0	.582	.166	.012	.101	.291	1.095	.233	.294	.367	.661
Travis d'Arnaud	3.9	.503	.145	.008	.090	.272	1.117	.209	.275	.330	.604

Boston Red Sox — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Roman Anthony	4.6	.657	.199	.035	.121	.602	1.231	.258	.362	.419	.781
Jahmai Jones	4.5	.577	.186	.035	.137	.460	1.278	.238	.328	.407	.735
Wilyer Abreu	4.4	.571	.203	.024	.170	.474	1.066	.251	.337	.447	.784
Trevor Story	4.3	.629	.194	.005	.120	.246	1.277	.239	.289	.381	.670
Nick Sogard	4.2	.633	.170	.011	.053	.423	.972	.235	.320	.331	.650
Caleb Durbin	4.0	.663	.190	.014	.094	.327	.560	.265	.342	.403	.745
Andruw Monasterio	3.9	.624	.198	.010	.063	.354	.886	.253	.328	.368	.697
Eli White	3.8	.584	.133	.028	.096	.267	1.015	.239	.300	.375	.676
Connor Wong	3.7	.545	.159	.007	.080	.277	.978	.235	.303	.358	.661

Data notes: home starter Patrick Sandoval: only 72 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections