Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Odds

July 18, 2026 · Taj Bradley vs Matthew Boyd · 79°F

1.3% edge · Chicago Cubs

Minnesota Twins win

42.0%

Chicago Cubs win

58.0%

Fair line (home)

-138

Proj. total

8.85

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Minnesota Twins (mean 4.19)Chicago Cubs (mean 4.65)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.85

Over

48.9%

Under

51.1%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Minnesota Twins	42.0%	+126	+138
Chicago Cubs	58.0%	-137	-138

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Austin Martin	4.8	.787	.198	.008	.050	.536	.866	.249	.343	.336	.679
Ryan Jeffers	4.7	.658	.193	.012	.186	.463	.936	.254	.342	.443	.784
Josh Bell	4.6	.677	.159	.009	.161	.388	.913	.243	.314	.403	.717
Victor Caratini	4.5	.711	.134	.003	.121	.328	.847	.241	.316	.366	.682
Brooks Lee	4.3	.709	.149	.017	.143	.255	.721	.251	.301	.402	.703
Kody Clemens	4.2	.530	.163	.034	.183	.300	1.002	.233	.295	.433	.727
Ryan Kreidler	4.1	.510	.138	.022	.093	.399	1.224	.207	.292	.332	.624
Luke Keaschall	4.0	.668	.169	.012	.072	.370	.655	.258	.340	.373	.713
Trevor Larnach	3.9	.578	.161	.011	.123	.407	.856	.252	.336	.411	.747

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Pete Crow-Armstrong	4.7	.682	.194	.042	.211	.353	1.173	.266	.330	.481	.811
Seiya Suzuki	4.5	.643	.196	.017	.199	.515	1.179	.264	.352	.471	.822
Michael Busch	4.4	.589	.177	.029	.189	.545	1.088	.257	.357	.467	.824
Alex Bregman	4.3	.669	.179	.009	.143	.511	.639	.265	.359	.431	.790
Ian Happ	4.2	.534	.164	.015	.154	.550	1.132	.239	.344	.420	.764
Nico Hoerner	4.1	.826	.193	.013	.060	.314	.386	.291	.352	.397	.749
Pedro Ramírez	4.0	.734	.155	.028	.068	.270	.788	.267	.323	.379	.703
Dansby Swanson	3.9	.572	.131	.019	.136	.365	.976	.245	.319	.409	.728
Miguel Amaya	3.8	.560	.158	.005	.111	.321	.814	.246	.323	.394	.717

Data notes: home starter Matthew Boyd: only 46 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections