Detroit Tigers vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Odds

July 20, 2026 · Jack Flaherty vs Jameson Taillon · 79°F

3.3% edge · Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers win

51.7%

Chicago Cubs win

48.3%

Fair line (home)

+107

Proj. total

9.37

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 4.94)Chicago Cubs (mean 4.43)

O/U line

11.5

Proj. total

9.37

Over

28.4%

Under

71.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	51.7%	+103	-107
Chicago Cubs	48.3%	-111	+107

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.8	.820	.229	.033	.127	.544	.605	.283	.368	.442	.810
Gleyber Torres	4.7	.797	.183	.006	.144	.492	.745	.268	.347	.416	.763
Colt Keith	4.6	.776	.190	.033	.164	.356	.825	.274	.334	.450	.784
Riley Greene	4.5	.700	.205	.017	.221	.409	1.119	.280	.349	.501	.850
Dillon Dingler	4.4	.672	.189	.019	.195	.256	.925	.261	.312	.458	.770
Kerry Carpenter	4.3	.605	.145	.041	.244	.285	1.006	.260	.317	.501	.818
Spencer Torkelson	4.2	.500	.171	.007	.206	.426	1.107	.237	.321	.451	.773
Zach McKinstry	4.1	.609	.143	.058	.092	.335	.756	.243	.311	.387	.698
James Outman	4.0	.465	.130	.032	.140	.357	1.296	.215	.294	.387	.682

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Pete Crow-Armstrong	4.7	.666	.188	.042	.211	.353	1.198	.260	.326	.473	.799
Seiya Suzuki	4.5	.648	.183	.016	.180	.496	1.220	.255	.341	.443	.784
Michael Busch	4.4	.572	.167	.030	.173	.548	1.111	.247	.351	.442	.792
Alex Bregman	4.3	.659	.168	.012	.138	.502	.668	.259	.353	.419	.773
Ian Happ	4.2	.522	.160	.015	.149	.545	1.173	.233	.340	.408	.748
Nico Hoerner	4.1	.799	.192	.009	.052	.319	.419	.281	.346	.379	.725
Pedro Ramírez	4.0	.704	.148	.028	.069	.276	.816	.257	.316	.368	.684
Dansby Swanson	3.9	.556	.137	.016	.137	.373	.985	.241	.318	.406	.724
Miguel Amaya	3.8	.532	.143	.007	.104	.326	.867	.232	.312	.369	.681

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections