Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Odds

August 3, 2026 · Justin Wrobleski vs Matthew Boyd · 73°F

1.7% edge · Chicago Cubs

Los Angeles Dodgers win

52.1%

Chicago Cubs win

47.9%

Fair line (home)

+109

Proj. total

9.41

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 4.91)Chicago Cubs (mean 4.50)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.41

Over

54.4%

Under

37.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	52.1%	-122	-109
Chicago Cubs	47.9%	+112	+109

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.8	.620	.175	.040	.314	.676	1.151	.277	.383	.566	.949
Andy Pages	4.7	.686	.216	.015	.211	.306	.961	.258	.315	.459	.774
Tommy Edman	4.6	.730	.168	.020	.123	.283	.878	.243	.298	.377	.675
Freddie Freeman	4.5	.718	.208	.014	.172	.480	.786	.280	.365	.469	.835
Mookie Betts	4.4	.684	.191	.018	.171	.458	.522	.271	.352	.460	.812
Kyle Tucker	4.3	.592	.162	.018	.181	.559	.727	.256	.357	.455	.812
Teoscar Hernández	4.2	.606	.167	.006	.196	.284	1.111	.251	.308	.448	.757
Enrique Hernández	4.1	.580	.166	.011	.133	.279	.921	.235	.291	.389	.680
Eliezer Alfonzo	4.0	.651	.146	.004	.054	.236	.535	.231	.283	.316	.599

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Pete Crow-Armstrong	4.7	.671	.187	.041	.234	.345	1.050	.267	.332	.497	.828
Seiya Suzuki	4.5	.635	.184	.015	.210	.495	1.083	.260	.346	.471	.817
Alex Bregman	4.4	.666	.167	.011	.152	.500	.602	.258	.350	.424	.774
Carson Kelly	4.3	.658	.144	.008	.144	.437	.776	.249	.333	.403	.735
Michael Busch	4.2	.540	.154	.027	.191	.524	.946	.251	.354	.466	.820
Nico Hoerner	4.1	.783	.188	.011	.059	.317	.369	.279	.345	.383	.728
Pedro Ramírez	4.0	.709	.148	.017	.070	.253	.745	.255	.310	.361	.672
Dansby Swanson	3.9	.546	.132	.018	.148	.370	.910	.241	.318	.417	.735
Kevin Alcántara	3.8	.511	.137	.005	.126	.308	1.168	.226	.294	.378	.672

Data notes: home starter Matthew Boyd: only 66 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections