Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Odds

August 5, 2026 · Eric Lauer vs Shota Imanaga · 76°F

2.9% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers win

50.2%

Chicago Cubs win

49.8%

Fair line (home)

+101

Proj. total

10.01

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.14)Chicago Cubs (mean 4.87)

O/U line

Proj. total

10.01

Over

42.1%

Under

51.0%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	50.2%	+107	-101
Chicago Cubs	49.8%	-116	+101

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	4.8	.619	.161	.042	.374	.598	1.176	.283	.375	.606	.981
Andy Pages	4.8	.709	.201	.010	.231	.271	.986	.260	.310	.466	.776
Freddie Freeman	4.6	.754	.223	.015	.203	.447	.829	.288	.363	.496	.859
Tommy Edman	4.5	.707	.161	.021	.138	.254	.881	.242	.292	.388	.681
Kyle Tucker	4.4	.613	.168	.020	.221	.514	.769	.264	.353	.488	.841
Mookie Betts	4.3	.645	.185	.017	.194	.408	.536	.268	.342	.475	.817
Max Muncy	4.2	.469	.126	.012	.240	.526	1.034	.233	.337	.472	.808
Miguel Rojas	4.1	.703	.173	.004	.106	.253	.540	.259	.309	.389	.699
Hunter Feduccia	4.0	.527	.137	.021	.085	.383	1.109	.216	.295	.338	.633

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Pete Crow-Armstrong	4.7	.642	.172	.041	.279	.371	1.092	.268	.336	.527	.862
Seiya Suzuki	4.5	.615	.173	.014	.246	.528	1.097	.263	.353	.499	.852
Alex Bregman	4.4	.634	.169	.012	.187	.521	.614	.259	.354	.454	.808
Carson Kelly	4.3	.624	.141	.008	.173	.452	.811	.246	.332	.422	.754
Michael Busch	4.2	.520	.144	.021	.231	.535	.976	.252	.356	.494	.851
Nico Hoerner	4.1	.757	.182	.010	.069	.326	.370	.272	.339	.381	.719
Ian Happ	4.0	.492	.150	.010	.177	.516	1.041	.240	.346	.443	.789
Dansby Swanson	3.9	.525	.130	.018	.171	.383	.937	.241	.320	.435	.755
Tyrone Taylor	3.8	.502	.162	.018	.141	.207	.831	.233	.285	.409	.695

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections