Los Angeles Dodgers vs Chicago Cubs — Prediction & Odds

August 4, 2026 · Tarik Skubal vs Javier Assad · 77°F

3.5% edge · Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers win

66.9%

Chicago Cubs win

33.1%

Fair line (home)

+202

Proj. total

9.01

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Los Angeles Dodgers (mean 5.52)Chicago Cubs (mean 3.49)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.01

Over

40.3%

Under

49.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Los Angeles Dodgers	66.9%	-183	-202
Chicago Cubs	33.1%	+167	+202

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Shohei Ohtani	5.0	.649	.174	.043	.329	.756	1.103	.286	.399	.583	.982
Andy Pages	4.9	.764	.227	.013	.212	.335	.916	.272	.331	.471	.803
Freddie Freeman	4.8	.792	.238	.015	.180	.538	.769	.294	.382	.488	.870
Max Muncy	4.6	.544	.148	.014	.230	.694	1.030	.240	.362	.462	.824
Mookie Betts	4.5	.728	.198	.017	.178	.495	.486	.279	.363	.471	.833
Kyle Tucker	4.4	.642	.171	.018	.187	.623	.689	.269	.376	.472	.848
Teoscar Hernández	4.3	.649	.173	.008	.193	.329	1.076	.258	.320	.452	.772
Tommy Edman	4.2	.691	.161	.028	.110	.296	.754	.256	.316	.397	.714
Ben Rortvedt	4.1	.538	.140	.005	.087	.390	1.013	.211	.295	.323	.619

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Pete Crow-Armstrong	4.5	.582	.162	.036	.189	.271	1.378	.233	.289	.425	.713
Seiya Suzuki	4.4	.563	.160	.012	.170	.386	1.395	.228	.301	.403	.704
Alex Bregman	4.3	.615	.152	.010	.133	.399	.837	.238	.318	.387	.705
Michael Busch	4.2	.503	.148	.025	.158	.411	1.257	.224	.311	.405	.716
Nico Hoerner	4.1	.767	.178	.009	.057	.259	.509	.268	.324	.364	.688
Tyrone Taylor	4.0	.505	.165	.017	.100	.171	1.105	.210	.256	.343	.599
Dansby Swanson	3.9	.503	.121	.016	.125	.300	1.168	.216	.282	.365	.647
Pedro Ramírez	3.7	.620	.123	.015	.056	.196	.909	.233	.281	.325	.606
Miguel Amaya	3.6	.475	.130	.006	.089	.263	.974	.213	.284	.338	.622

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections