Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Odds

July 8, 2026 · Jake Bennett vs Davis Martin · 79°F

3.4% edge · Chicago White Sox

Boston Red Sox win

46.7%

Chicago White Sox win

53.3%

Fair line (home)

-114

Proj. total

9.01

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Boston Red Sox (mean 4.44)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.57)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.01

Over

44.4%

Under

47.9%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Boston Red Sox	46.7%	-104	+114
Chicago White Sox	53.3%	-104	-114

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Anthony Seigler	4.8	.669	.196	.028	.087	.575	.987	.233	.333	.356	.689
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.7	.762	.217	.032	.143	.239	.950	.261	.308	.422	.730
Wilyer Abreu	4.6	.678	.213	.015	.187	.471	1.018	.266	.345	.461	.806
Willson Contreras	4.5	.617	.174	.019	.202	.444	1.097	.258	.353	.466	.819
Masataka Yoshida	4.4	.803	.195	.017	.109	.318	.565	.280	.345	.419	.764
Caleb Durbin	4.3	.685	.212	.021	.088	.308	.496	.259	.331	.393	.724
Jarren Duran	4.2	.580	.199	.055	.123	.339	1.005	.252	.321	.430	.752
Carlos Narváez	4.1	.551	.169	.005	.114	.395	1.051	.232	.315	.375	.690
Tsung-Che Cheng	4.0	.540	.147	.028	.051	.353	.995	.215	.290	.315	.604

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Miguel Vargas	4.7	.688	.212	.018	.174	.561	.734	.268	.363	.456	.819
Randal Grichuk	4.6	.741	.226	.011	.182	.276	.823	.273	.324	.459	.784
Colson Montgomery	4.5	.582	.155	.013	.220	.407	1.142	.244	.326	.456	.782
Chase Meidroth	4.3	.843	.176	.004	.072	.463	.633	.286	.370	.390	.760
Sam Antonacci	4.2	.813	.172	.031	.053	.406	.606	.288	.379	.394	.773
Braden Montgomery	4.2	.691	.181	.013	.103	.317	1.053	.261	.328	.398	.725
Junior Perez	4.0	.541	.165	.030	.103	.357	1.177	.229	.301	.375	.676
Kyle Teel	3.9	.678	.152	.008	.101	.450	.851	.273	.363	.410	.773
Luisangel Acuña	3.8	.772	.167	.014	.055	.224	.566	.283	.330	.384	.714

Data notes: away starter Jake Bennett: only 38 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections