Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Odds

July 9, 2026 · Patrick Sandoval vs Anthony Kay · 76°F

1.9% edge · Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox win

50.0%

Chicago White Sox win

50.0%

Fair line (home)

+100

Proj. total

8.48

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Boston Red Sox (mean 4.36)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.12)

Totals

O/U line

Proj. total

8.48

Over

38.6%

Under

50.9%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Boston Red Sox	50.0%	+104	-100
Chicago White Sox	50.0%	-112	+100

Boston Red Sox — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Anthony Seigler	4.8	.677	.200	.019	.073	.580	.935	.230	.331	.339	.670
Ceddanne Rafaela	4.7	.782	.222	.035	.140	.261	.876	.268	.319	.430	.749
Wilyer Abreu	4.6	.679	.213	.015	.172	.531	.947	.266	.354	.453	.807
Romy Gonzalez	4.5	.803	.218	.034	.133	.276	.993	.283	.334	.447	.781
Caleb Durbin	4.4	.714	.221	.019	.079	.337	.482	.262	.337	.387	.725
Andruw Monasterio	4.3	.700	.200	.007	.071	.418	.879	.255	.336	.366	.702
Nate Eaton	4.2	.651	.172	.020	.087	.300	.959	.242	.303	.364	.667
Brett Harris	4.1	.610	.149	.014	.088	.413	.847	.240	.331	.362	.693
Connor Wong	4.0	.614	.187	.009	.083	.307	.893	.248	.317	.374	.691

Chicago White Sox — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Chase Meidroth	4.6	.836	.172	.006	.070	.575	.785	.271	.370	.370	.740
Randal Grichuk	4.5	.694	.214	.010	.170	.316	.951	.261	.320	.440	.760
Miguel Vargas	4.4	.571	.199	.017	.157	.618	.806	.253	.366	.441	.807
Colson Montgomery	4.3	.521	.148	.010	.187	.455	1.256	.229	.323	.422	.745
Junior Perez	4.2	.513	.158	.025	.099	.417	1.384	.211	.294	.346	.640
Sam Antonacci	4.1	.744	.161	.028	.047	.444	.679	.278	.379	.379	.758
Braden Montgomery	4.0	.603	.170	.013	.088	.356	1.150	.243	.319	.371	.690
Luisangel Acuña	3.9	.750	.155	.015	.050	.262	.686	.269	.323	.363	.686
Drew Romo	3.8	.551	.130	.006	.099	.237	.948	.226	.284	.352	.636

Data notes: away starter Patrick Sandoval: only 0 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Patrick Sandoval: only 0 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections