New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Odds

July 30, 2026 · Ryan Weathers vs Sean Burke · 73°F

7.4% edge · New York Yankees

New York Yankees win

55.8%

Chicago White Sox win

44.2%

Fair line (home)

+126

Proj. total

8.88

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

New York Yankees (mean 4.84)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.04)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.88

Over

57.4%

Under

42.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
New York Yankees	55.8%	+103	-126
Chicago White Sox	44.2%	-111	+126

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trent Grisham	4.8	.532	.149	.018	.236	.737	1.065	.230	.353	.450	.802
Ben Rice	4.7	.542	.158	.021	.306	.587	1.040	.252	.354	.526	.880
Jasson Domínguez	4.6	.694	.160	.007	.164	.460	1.084	.249	.329	.410	.739
Paul Goldschmidt	4.5	.666	.172	.011	.177	.435	1.024	.255	.333	.435	.768
Spencer Jones	4.4	.493	.143	.008	.200	.413	1.647	.214	.294	.406	.700
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.3	.542	.122	.015	.221	.486	1.162	.239	.331	.455	.786
Anthony Volpe	4.2	.542	.163	.021	.131	.398	.979	.228	.307	.388	.694
Ryan McMahon	4.1	.452	.116	.005	.171	.512	1.293	.210	.313	.390	.703
Austin Wells	4.0	.434	.129	.005	.183	.423	1.018	.215	.306	.412	.718

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Chase Meidroth	4.5	.765	.154	.004	.086	.503	.933	.252	.343	.357	.701
Munetaka Murakami	4.5	.473	.100	.005	.293	.614	1.435	.229	.341	.490	.831
Miguel Vargas	4.3	.530	.193	.013	.179	.522	.855	.243	.342	.444	.786
Randal Grichuk	4.2	.586	.174	.008	.193	.248	.976	.243	.295	.438	.732
Colson Montgomery	4.1	.459	.128	.008	.225	.337	1.302	.219	.295	.439	.733
Everson Pereira	4.0	.502	.126	.009	.163	.321	1.327	.219	.290	.391	.681
Braden Montgomery	3.9	.540	.151	.010	.093	.313	1.162	.223	.294	.349	.643
Luisangel Acuña	3.8	.698	.147	.012	.060	.218	.719	.258	.306	.356	.662
Edgar Quero	3.7	.583	.111	.003	.081	.278	.831	.232	.302	.339	.641

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections