New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Odds

July 29, 2026 · Cam Schlittler vs Davis Martin · 70°F

2.9% edge · Chicago White Sox

New York Yankees win

53.7%

Chicago White Sox win

46.3%

Fair line (home)

+116

Proj. total

8.44

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

New York Yankees (mean 4.53)Chicago White Sox (mean 3.91)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.44

Over

53.4%

Under

46.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
New York Yankees	53.7%	-137	-116
Chicago White Sox	46.3%	+126	+116

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Trent Grisham	4.8	.577	.159	.017	.218	.648	1.006	.236	.344	.441	.785
Ben Rice	4.7	.562	.164	.022	.276	.526	.995	.249	.342	.501	.842
Jasson Domínguez	4.6	.719	.172	.009	.147	.406	1.005	.253	.324	.405	.730
Paul Goldschmidt	4.5	.687	.183	.014	.157	.373	.966	.256	.324	.424	.748
Spencer Jones	4.4	.540	.156	.008	.180	.369	1.590	.223	.294	.402	.696
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	4.3	.554	.124	.016	.195	.437	1.082	.235	.319	.430	.750
Ryan McMahon	4.2	.499	.127	.005	.148	.467	1.281	.213	.306	.372	.677
José Caballero	4.0	.590	.148	.006	.093	.370	.948	.233	.318	.355	.673
Austin Wells	3.9	.462	.132	.006	.158	.400	.950	.218	.305	.395	.700

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.6	.759	.158	.025	.071	.430	.863	.254	.348	.360	.708
Munetaka Murakami	4.4	.462	.103	.006	.272	.615	1.428	.222	.335	.467	.802
Miguel Vargas	4.3	.527	.176	.011	.167	.528	.860	.234	.335	.419	.754
Colson Montgomery	4.2	.472	.132	.009	.202	.341	1.361	.213	.288	.410	.698
Andrew Benintendi	4.1	.625	.132	.020	.138	.350	.889	.243	.311	.399	.710
Braden Montgomery	4.0	.543	.162	.017	.094	.345	1.205	.224	.298	.355	.654
Tristan Peters	3.9	.567	.168	.019	.082	.328	.902	.235	.305	.361	.666
Chase Meidroth	3.8	.611	.126	.004	.063	.411	.785	.240	.331	.337	.668
Drew Romo	3.7	.479	.110	.008	.106	.229	1.002	.206	.264	.336	.600

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections