Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Odds

August 7, 2026 · Parker Messick vs Noah Schultz · 80°F

5.5% edge · Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians win

51.8%

Chicago White Sox win

48.2%

Fair line (home)

+108

Proj. total

9.08

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.72)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.36)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

9.08

Over

58.3%

Under

41.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	51.8%	-141	-108
Chicago White Sox	48.2%	+129	+108

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.9	.880	.178	.021	.075	.620	.450	.273	.372	.379	.751
Chase DeLauter	4.8	.794	.223	.017	.171	.537	.688	.286	.371	.469	.840
José Ramírez	4.7	.708	.215	.009	.209	.526	.566	.279	.368	.490	.857
Jo Adell	4.5	.596	.168	.014	.247	.325	1.082	.248	.317	.475	.791
Angel Martínez	4.4	.659	.184	.013	.137	.263	.921	.242	.300	.393	.693
Rhys Hoskins	4.3	.472	.152	.007	.177	.635	1.181	.222	.346	.413	.760
Brayan Rocchio	4.2	.660	.174	.016	.090	.392	.688	.251	.336	.378	.714
Austin Hedges	4.1	.557	.120	.006	.100	.396	.940	.213	.296	.330	.626
Angel Genao	4.0	.639	.161	.010	.062	.351	.775	.242	.315	.343	.658

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Chase Meidroth	4.6	.800	.163	.005	.088	.509	.883	.261	.351	.369	.721
Munetaka Murakami	4.5	.520	.118	.005	.283	.637	1.371	.242	.355	.497	.852
Miguel Vargas	4.4	.580	.197	.011	.180	.543	.824	.255	.355	.454	.809
Randal Grichuk	4.3	.638	.194	.009	.195	.248	.941	.259	.309	.459	.768
Colson Montgomery	4.2	.487	.143	.009	.219	.355	1.271	.228	.306	.446	.752
Brenton Doyle	4.1	.627	.165	.017	.127	.274	1.135	.248	.302	.401	.703
Braden Montgomery	4.0	.588	.166	.011	.089	.328	1.138	.237	.310	.363	.673
Edgar Quero	3.9	.659	.125	.004	.092	.293	.823	.251	.319	.367	.686
Luisangel Acuña	3.7	.727	.154	.013	.058	.218	.672	.272	.319	.373	.692

Data notes: home starter Noah Schultz: only 60 BF vs LHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections