Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Odds

August 8, 2026 · Gavin Williams vs Anthony Kay · 74°F

7.1% edge · Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians win

49.1%

Chicago White Sox win

50.9%

Fair line (home)

-104

Proj. total

8.72

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.40)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.32)

O/U line

7.5

Proj. total

8.72

Over

55.8%

Under

44.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	49.1%	-134	+104
Chicago White Sox	50.9%	+124	-104

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.8	.917	.181	.025	.070	.539	.419	.280	.365	.384	.749
Jo Adell	4.7	.665	.173	.017	.232	.306	1.058	.251	.314	.460	.774
Chase DeLauter	4.6	.793	.219	.015	.150	.458	.634	.285	.360	.454	.814
Angel Martínez	4.5	.684	.194	.014	.133	.242	.871	.244	.298	.392	.690
Rhys Hoskins	4.4	.511	.155	.009	.172	.570	1.159	.225	.337	.408	.744
Brayan Rocchio	4.3	.707	.187	.017	.084	.344	.663	.257	.332	.380	.711
Travis Bazzana	4.2	.588	.179	.021	.092	.522	.907	.243	.345	.380	.725
Austin Hedges	4.1	.588	.122	.006	.098	.343	.864	.220	.294	.335	.630
Angel Genao	4.0	.661	.165	.013	.053	.310	.737	.247	.313	.344	.657

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Sam Antonacci	4.6	.793	.169	.025	.074	.504	.910	.265	.366	.375	.741
Munetaka Murakami	4.5	.473	.112	.004	.278	.695	1.482	.228	.352	.479	.831
Miguel Vargas	4.4	.554	.191	.014	.176	.593	.898	.248	.357	.446	.802
Colson Montgomery	4.3	.484	.138	.009	.216	.404	1.413	.220	.304	.429	.733
Andrew Benintendi	4.2	.645	.148	.021	.137	.411	.927	.252	.328	.411	.740
Braden Montgomery	4.1	.578	.160	.015	.100	.404	1.237	.233	.315	.366	.681
Tristan Peters	4.0	.598	.168	.019	.087	.373	.938	.243	.319	.373	.692
Chase Meidroth	3.9	.653	.137	.003	.070	.471	.811	.257	.354	.362	.716
Drew Romo	3.8	.494	.124	.009	.115	.265	1.057	.214	.277	.355	.632

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections