Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Odds

August 9, 2026 · Joey Cantillo vs Davis Martin · 82°F

4.1% edge · Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians win

50.0%

Chicago White Sox win

50.0%

Fair line (home)

+100

Proj. total

9.2

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 4.72)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.48)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.2

Over

52.3%

Under

47.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	50.0%	-123	-100
Chicago White Sox	50.0%	+114	+100

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.9	.890	.184	.024	.075	.514	.451	.271	.353	.377	.730
Chase DeLauter	4.8	.820	.226	.015	.172	.452	.680	.288	.359	.468	.826
José Ramírez	4.7	.718	.217	.015	.210	.470	.543	.280	.359	.492	.851
Nathaniel Lowe	4.5	.668	.160	.011	.177	.531	1.065	.255	.346	.434	.780
Jo Adell	4.4	.615	.171	.013	.249	.261	1.019	.255	.311	.486	.797
Travis Bazzana	4.3	.611	.191	.024	.109	.514	.973	.248	.344	.398	.742
Brayan Rocchio	4.2	.665	.174	.024	.096	.359	.661	.253	.329	.387	.716
Patrick Bailey	4.1	.608	.133	.021	.092	.323	1.038	.227	.292	.347	.639
Angel Genao	4.0	.666	.169	.015	.060	.309	.753	.249	.313	.353	.666

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Brenton Doyle	4.7	.703	.179	.017	.148	.386	1.325	.246	.312	.401	.713
Munetaka Murakami	4.5	.484	.112	.005	.283	.738	1.416	.235	.364	.492	.856
Miguel Vargas	4.4	.553	.183	.013	.183	.652	.834	.250	.367	.453	.821
Randal Grichuk	4.3	.613	.197	.009	.201	.302	.962	.255	.313	.460	.772
Braden Montgomery	4.2	.593	.170	.010	.104	.402	1.208	.233	.313	.365	.679
Colson Montgomery	4.1	.454	.133	.009	.221	.409	1.266	.224	.312	.447	.759
Edgar Quero	4.0	.648	.128	.004	.086	.365	.891	.242	.322	.352	.673
Sam Antonacci	3.9	.665	.147	.024	.071	.458	.714	.273	.378	.395	.773
Luisangel Acuña	3.8	.708	.148	.011	.059	.265	.717	.265	.320	.364	.684

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections