Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Odds

August 13, 2026 · Andrew Abbott vs Davis Martin · 73°F

4.1% edge · Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds win

48.5%

Chicago White Sox win

51.5%

Fair line (home)

-106

Proj. total

9.22

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cincinnati Reds (mean 4.67)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.55)

O/U line

Proj. total

9.22

Over

52.3%

Under

39.5%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cincinnati Reds	48.5%	+121	+106
Chicago White Sox	51.5%	-131	-106

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Elly De La Cruz	4.8	.722	.200	.041	.205	.472	1.227	.271	.348	.478	.826
Sal Stewart	4.7	.698	.224	.002	.198	.455	.901	.266	.343	.461	.804
JJ Bleday	4.6	.559	.190	.017	.209	.562	.972	.243	.340	.455	.794
Tyler Stephenson	4.5	.634	.179	.004	.141	.466	1.142	.240	.326	.394	.720
Eugenio Suárez	4.4	.524	.155	.004	.242	.384	1.282	.235	.313	.460	.773
Dane Myers	4.3	.683	.155	.006	.110	.358	1.050	.246	.318	.375	.693
Héctor Rodríguez	4.2	.651	.154	.026	.157	.279	.815	.255	.310	.430	.740
Matt McLain	4.1	.539	.155	.004	.130	.434	1.046	.232	.322	.386	.708
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3.9	.651	.136	.022	.083	.281	.717	.246	.306	.364	.669

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Chase Meidroth	4.6	.816	.170	.005	.099	.539	.821	.269	.360	.386	.746
Randal Grichuk	4.5	.650	.194	.007	.245	.286	.918	.260	.312	.484	.796
Miguel Vargas	4.4	.573	.195	.014	.213	.569	.751	.262	.363	.488	.851
Braden Montgomery	4.3	.633	.178	.014	.132	.376	1.122	.246	.318	.401	.719
Brenton Doyle	4.2	.653	.165	.018	.156	.303	1.089	.255	.312	.427	.739
Colson Montgomery	4.1	.481	.136	.009	.244	.382	1.163	.237	.319	.479	.797
Edgar Quero	4.0	.682	.135	.004	.108	.330	.781	.258	.328	.387	.715
Sam Antonacci	3.9	.702	.141	.025	.086	.405	.618	.283	.376	.415	.791
Luisangel Acuña	3.8	.717	.140	.013	.073	.237	.631	.269	.320	.380	.700

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections