Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox — Prediction & Odds

September 18, 2026 · Andrew Sears vs David Sandlin · 66°F

7.8% edge · Detroit Tigers

Detroit Tigers win

53.6%

Chicago White Sox win

46.4%

Fair line (home)

+115

Proj. total

8.95

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Detroit Tigers (mean 4.76)Chicago White Sox (mean 4.19)

Totals

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

8.95

Over

49.9%

Under

50.1%

Model vs. market

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Detroit Tigers	53.6%	+114	-115
Chicago White Sox	46.4%	-124	+115

Projected starters

Starter	IP	K	H	BB	R
Andrew Sears LHP · Detroit Tigers	4.2	3.9	3.9	1.7	1.9
David Sandlin RHP · Chicago White Sox	4.7	3.7	4.8	2.2	2.4

Strikeout ladder

Andrew Sears4+ 56%6+ 19%8+ 4%

David Sandlin4+ 53%6+ 17%8+ 3%

Per-game averages across all simulations. IP is a decimal average of outs recorded, not baseball's 5.2 notation. R is runs allowed while the starter was still in the game; the simulation models no errors, so every run is earned by construction — which is why this says R and not ER.

Detroit Tigers — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Kevin McGonigle	4.9	.758	.200	.031	.149	.662	.655	.271	.374	.439	.813
Gleyber Torres	4.8	.750	.174	.004	.128	.634	.797	.256	.359	.394	.753
Colt Keith	4.7	.737	.170	.035	.147	.451	.859	.260	.337	.422	.759
Riley Greene	4.6	.652	.190	.019	.197	.530	1.170	.264	.354	.468	.822
Spencer Torkelson	4.5	.501	.168	.004	.203	.538	1.210	.226	.327	.429	.757
Zach McKinstry	4.3	.601	.148	.051	.074	.443	.805	.226	.311	.349	.660
Max Clark	4.2	.645	.145	.038	.104	.428	.801	.247	.329	.389	.718
Eduardo Valencia	4.1	.588	.157	.010	.188	.290	.899	.249	.308	.444	.753
Hao-Yu Lee	4.0	.579	.152	.026	.121	.358	.866	.243	.317	.400	.717

Chicago White Sox — projected lines

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Miguel Vargas	4.6	.594	.193	.011	.176	.588	.777	.246	.350	.433	.784
Tommy Pham	4.5	.667	.154	.016	.117	.446	1.023	.237	.318	.370	.688
Randal Grichuk	4.4	.635	.210	.016	.175	.253	.898	.253	.304	.441	.744
Munetaka Murakami	4.3	.440	.108	.003	.240	.659	1.317	.220	.348	.453	.800
Chase Meidroth	4.2	.716	.151	.003	.081	.458	.723	.259	.349	.367	.716
Kyle Teel	4.1	.606	.130	.005	.125	.469	1.040	.242	.338	.387	.725
Brenton Doyle	4.0	.573	.137	.013	.110	.279	1.079	.227	.285	.361	.646
Colson Montgomery	3.9	.423	.126	.006	.175	.343	1.180	.212	.297	.405	.702
Tristan Peters	3.7	.558	.162	.021	.087	.322	.696	.246	.320	.384	.704

Data notes: home starter David Sandlin: only 50 BF vs RHB this season · away starter Andrew Sears: only 24 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Andrew Sears: only 49 BF vs RHB this season · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections