Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Odds

July 29, 2026 · Joey Cantillo vs Brady Singer · 82°F

4.0% edge · Cincinnati Reds

Cleveland Guardians win

51.9%

Cincinnati Reds win

48.1%

Fair line (home)

+108

Proj. total

9.73

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Cleveland Guardians (mean 5.07)Cincinnati Reds (mean 4.66)

O/U line

8.5

Proj. total

9.73

Over

57.3%

Under

42.7%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Cleveland Guardians	51.9%	-132	-108
Cincinnati Reds	48.1%	+122	+108

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Steven Kwan	4.9	.920	.187	.024	.100	.497	.458	.283	.361	.406	.767
José Ramírez	4.8	.742	.210	.015	.279	.471	.563	.292	.368	.544	.912
Chase DeLauter	4.7	.804	.230	.018	.211	.439	.671	.300	.370	.513	.883
Travis Bazzana	4.6	.631	.211	.026	.142	.533	1.056	.254	.349	.427	.777
Brayan Rocchio	4.5	.732	.187	.027	.126	.368	.717	.267	.341	.422	.762
Kyle Manzardo	4.3	.522	.159	.015	.255	.463	1.103	.248	.338	.497	.835
Gabriel Arias	4.2	.603	.170	.018	.182	.285	1.276	.249	.309	.442	.751
Patrick Bailey	4.1	.618	.140	.022	.110	.329	1.066	.236	.302	.373	.675
Petey Halpin	4.0	.591	.144	.032	.099	.276	1.048	.234	.291	.370	.661

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Elly De La Cruz	4.7	.677	.189	.031	.214	.486	1.293	.268	.349	.484	.833
Sal Stewart	4.5	.673	.212	.004	.225	.515	.943	.278	.365	.502	.867
Dane Myers	4.4	.724	.161	.009	.132	.431	1.179	.258	.337	.403	.741
Eugenio Suárez	4.3	.505	.153	.003	.279	.440	1.367	.245	.331	.504	.835
Tyler Stephenson	4.2	.588	.171	.004	.150	.506	1.176	.247	.342	.417	.760
Noelvi Marte	4.1	.673	.173	.018	.180	.310	.924	.276	.335	.473	.809
Ivan Johnson	4.0	.525	.150	.009	.120	.357	1.286	.223	.300	.369	.669
Edwin Arroyo	3.9	.672	.140	.027	.080	.228	.845	.254	.306	.373	.679
Ke'Bryan Hayes	3.8	.651	.134	.021	.095	.306	.767	.261	.326	.395	.721

Data notes: 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections