Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Odds

August 4, 2026 · J.T. Ginn vs Brady Singer · 86°F

0.4% edge · Athletics

Athletics win

45.7%

Cincinnati Reds win

54.3%

Fair line (home)

-119

Proj. total

11.12

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Athletics (mean 5.46)Cincinnati Reds (mean 5.66)

O/U line

Proj. total

11.12

Over

58.9%

Under

31.6%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Athletics	45.7%	+117	+119
Cincinnati Reds	54.3%	-126	-119

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Lawrence Butler	4.9	.693	.214	.013	.262	.466	1.190	.266	.338	.496	.834
Jacob Wilson	4.8	.975	.254	.008	.156	.285	.413	.312	.362	.478	.840
Tyler Soderstrom	4.7	.644	.217	.018	.305	.482	.897	.284	.365	.564	.929
Jonah Heim	4.6	.681	.178	.005	.220	.342	.833	.257	.318	.458	.776
Jeff McNeil	4.5	.778	.197	.022	.129	.365	.527	.279	.350	.435	.785
Tommy White	4.4	.772	.208	.015	.147	.209	.717	.277	.321	.442	.763
Donovan Walton	4.3	.711	.162	.012	.128	.382	.722	.264	.339	.412	.751
Carlos Cortes	4.2	.632	.201	.012	.195	.381	.712	.278	.351	.495	.846
Henry Bolte	4.0	.674	.164	.026	.146	.334	1.133	.278	.349	.457	.807

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Elly De La Cruz	4.8	.762	.222	.052	.239	.518	1.148	.302	.383	.549	.932
Sal Stewart	4.7	.772	.233	.004	.238	.490	.837	.302	.381	.533	.914
JJ Bleday	4.6	.606	.207	.016	.255	.606	.922	.276	.376	.532	.908
Tyler Stephenson	4.5	.702	.195	.006	.171	.500	1.089	.274	.363	.458	.821
Eugenio Suárez	4.3	.569	.165	.003	.288	.412	1.228	.266	.348	.534	.882
Dane Myers	4.2	.749	.169	.008	.136	.374	.997	.279	.351	.434	.786
Héctor Rodríguez	4.1	.709	.166	.027	.189	.287	.785	.285	.340	.491	.830
Ke'Bryan Hayes	4.0	.741	.158	.025	.104	.293	.703	.278	.336	.418	.755
Matt McLain	3.9	.562	.165	.004	.142	.446	.991	.256	.349	.431	.780

Data notes: game-time temp 86F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections