Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Odds

August 5, 2026 · Jacob Lopez vs Rhett Lowder · 89°F

2.5% edge · Athletics

Athletics win

43.4%

Cincinnati Reds win

56.6%

Fair line (home)

-130

Proj. total

10.97

Score distribution

How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.

Athletics (mean 5.24)Cincinnati Reds (mean 5.72)

O/U line

9.5

Proj. total

10.97

Over

56.8%

Under

43.2%

Side	Model	Book	Fair
Athletics	43.4%	+140	+130
Cincinnati Reds	56.6%	-152	-130

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Lawrence Butler	4.9	.694	.216	.012	.236	.510	1.171	.264	.343	.479	.822
Jacob Wilson	4.8	.989	.257	.007	.150	.306	.402	.316	.366	.478	.844
Tyler Soderstrom	4.7	.659	.218	.018	.277	.520	.873	.284	.370	.547	.918
Jonah Heim	4.6	.681	.168	.005	.209	.368	.815	.254	.318	.446	.764
Jeff McNeil	4.5	.754	.206	.021	.125	.393	.525	.276	.351	.431	.782
Tommy White	4.4	.787	.203	.013	.150	.220	.680	.282	.326	.448	.774
Donovan Walton	4.3	.697	.162	.012	.123	.383	.712	.260	.334	.405	.740
Henry Bolte	4.2	.695	.171	.026	.144	.357	1.155	.278	.351	.454	.805
Alika Williams	4.0	.683	.182	.016	.095	.280	.820	.263	.322	.397	.719

Batter	PA	1B	2B	3B	HR	BB	K	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Elly De La Cruz	4.8	.724	.208	.034	.270	.504	1.184	.294	.374	.551	.925
Sal Stewart	4.6	.714	.229	.004	.263	.505	.872	.295	.377	.545	.922
Dane Myers	4.5	.765	.172	.006	.167	.421	1.097	.274	.350	.443	.793
Eugenio Suárez	4.4	.543	.159	.004	.326	.432	1.279	.264	.349	.557	.906
Noelvi Marte	4.3	.731	.185	.017	.222	.307	.870	.292	.349	.515	.864
JJ Bleday	4.2	.527	.182	.014	.264	.567	.879	.273	.376	.550	.926
Jose Trevino	4.1	.715	.172	.005	.150	.278	.607	.274	.329	.441	.769
Ke'Bryan Hayes	4.0	.705	.161	.024	.117	.320	.713	.277	.342	.431	.773
Matt McLain	3.9	.550	.160	.006	.163	.454	.994	.261	.356	.457	.812

Data notes: game-time temp 89F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections