← Slate
0.5% edge · Cincinnati RedsAthletics vs Cincinnati Reds — Prediction & Odds
August 6, 2026 · Mason Barnett vs Andrew Abbott · 92°F
Athletics win
39.6%
Cincinnati Reds win
60.4%
Fair line (home)
-152
Proj. total
10.87
Score distribution
How often each team scores each run total across all simulations.
Athletics (mean 4.99)Cincinnati Reds (mean 5.88)
Totals
O/U line
9.5
Proj. total
10.87
Over
56.9%
Under
43.1%
Model vs. market
| Side | Model | Book | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics | 39.6% | +140 | +152 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 60.4% | -164 | -152 |
Athletics — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Bolte | 4.8 | .799 | .207 | .029 | .194 | .405 | 1.329 | .282 | .351 | .477 | .827 |
| Tommy White | 4.7 | .822 | .215 | .016 | .177 | .232 | .755 | .277 | .318 | .452 | .770 |
| Jonah Heim | 4.6 | .668 | .171 | .005 | .244 | .340 | .813 | .257 | .316 | .474 | .790 |
| Tyler Soderstrom | 4.5 | .609 | .209 | .015 | .315 | .484 | .832 | .290 | .371 | .588 | .959 |
| Max Muncy | 4.4 | .623 | .189 | .025 | .214 | .299 | 1.224 | .261 | .321 | .480 | .801 |
| Lawrence Butler | 4.3 | .584 | .181 | .009 | .245 | .421 | 1.015 | .265 | .340 | .508 | .848 |
| Brian Serven | 4.2 | .545 | .149 | .010 | .126 | .375 | 1.190 | .221 | .297 | .366 | .664 |
| Alika Williams | 4.1 | .674 | .176 | .016 | .107 | .281 | .840 | .260 | .317 | .401 | .718 |
| Jonathan Ornelas | 3.9 | .602 | .112 | .018 | .098 | .287 | 1.006 | .229 | .291 | .351 | .641 |
Cincinnati Reds — projected lines
| Batter | PA | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | K | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elly De La Cruz | 4.8 | .753 | .212 | .047 | .255 | .537 | 1.157 | .302 | .385 | .557 | .942 |
| Sal Stewart | 4.7 | .743 | .235 | .003 | .255 | .502 | .836 | .300 | .381 | .544 | .925 |
| JJ Bleday | 4.5 | .581 | .200 | .017 | .271 | .611 | .916 | .273 | .375 | .541 | .916 |
| Tyler Stephenson | 4.4 | .669 | .195 | .005 | .184 | .512 | 1.081 | .271 | .361 | .466 | .827 |
| Eugenio Suárez | 4.3 | .540 | .164 | .003 | .319 | .421 | 1.217 | .268 | .350 | .562 | .912 |
| Dane Myers | 4.2 | .734 | .159 | .007 | .142 | .396 | .998 | .276 | .352 | .435 | .787 |
| Héctor Rodríguez | 4.1 | .700 | .156 | .030 | .193 | .283 | .780 | .284 | .338 | .493 | .831 |
| Noelvi Marte | 4.0 | .692 | .181 | .014 | .192 | .286 | .785 | .293 | .350 | .506 | .856 |
| Matt McLain | 3.9 | .547 | .169 | .004 | .162 | .459 | .956 | .260 | .356 | .456 | .812 |
Data notes: away starter Mason Barnett: only 62 BF vs LHB this season · away starter Mason Barnett: only 64 BF vs RHB this season · game-time temp 92F: run environment adjusted · 20/20 lineup+starter talents from projections